maddux sports
looks like a win on friday on utah st +29. here's the one update from yesterday. there should be one more tomorrow morning and i will try to post that. these lines are from the beginning of the week. i believe the line now for iowa is dropped below 7 so i bought it up to 7. hopefully we won't need it.
Football
#321 - NCAA - 5 units on Iowa +8
#358 - NCAA - 3 units on California -9
#383 - NCAA - 3 units on UTEP +8
#394 - NCAA - 3 units on Tulsa -14
looks like a win on friday on utah st +29. here's the one update from yesterday. there should be one more tomorrow morning and i will try to post that. these lines are from the beginning of the week. i believe the line now for iowa is dropped below 7 so i bought it up to 7. hopefully we won't need it.
Football
#321 - NCAA - 5 units on Iowa +8
#358 - NCAA - 3 units on California -9
#383 - NCAA - 3 units on UTEP +8
#394 - NCAA - 3 units on Tulsa -14
POWER INDEX
1. Florida -24½ over Arkansas* (Saturday)
We have enjoyed going against the Razorbacks for the last 2 weeks and hope to win again at their expense. The Hogs have played 4 awful games so far and look to be outclassed again. The spread has grown to 24½ but we just don't see how Arkansas can stay in this game for long with their pathetic offense and rollover defense. Tebow leads the charge to rebound from last week's devastating loss to Ole Miss.
2. Notre Dame* -6½ over Stanford (Saturday)
The rebuilding job continues at Notre Dame. QB Clausen is developing with each outing. The Irish have now won 3 straight at home and we expect another solid performance against a mediocre Pac-10 team. Clausen had a solid game last week against Purdue and should find the Cardinal pass defense as exploitable as they were last week against pass-happy Washington.
3. Texas Tech -7½ over Kansas State* (Saturday)
Texas Tech has been unstoppable facing weak competition. Kansas State has three wins, all against poor opponents. Our bet is on the Red Raiders here, as K-State was pushed to the limit last week by UL-Lafayette, who gashed the Wildcat defense for 335 rushing yards. There is no doubt that Tech QB Harrell will be able to move the team and score plenty of points. We have our doubts that Kansas State can stay close for 4 quarters.
4. Florida State/Miami FL* UNDER 42 (Saturday)
Two tough defensive units should be able to shut down the opposing running games and neither team is particularly scary though the air.
5. Oregon +16½ over Southern Cal* (Saturday Night)
USC looks to rebound from last week's surprising loss to Oregon State on the road. The Trojans fell behind by 21 points and rallied to make a game of it late. The ability of the Beavers to run the ball on the Trojan defense was a surprise. Oregon features a very explosive offense and their ground game is as good as anyone's. We feel the Ducks can make a game of it and stay within 16½.
6. Ohio State -2 over Wisconsin* (Saturday Night)
Ohio State is on the comeback trail, following that awful loss earlier to USC. The Buckeye defense is solid and RB Wells is healthy again. QB Pryor is getting a little better each time out. We believe the edge here goes to the Buckeyes, as Wisconsin lost to Michigan last week in a 4 turnover debacle. The OSU defense should pressure Wisconsin into a few mistakes, too.
7. Missouri/Nebraska* UNDER 69 (Saturday Night)
The number on this game is a remarkably high 69. While Missouri is very explosive, the Huskers are not. Nebraska will need to employ a little ball possession to stay in the game. Therefore, we are expecting a few long Husker drives to consume some clock and make 69 difficult to reach. Missouri is not stellar on defense, but Nebraska should score in long, slow drives.
1. Florida -24½ over Arkansas* (Saturday)
We have enjoyed going against the Razorbacks for the last 2 weeks and hope to win again at their expense. The Hogs have played 4 awful games so far and look to be outclassed again. The spread has grown to 24½ but we just don't see how Arkansas can stay in this game for long with their pathetic offense and rollover defense. Tebow leads the charge to rebound from last week's devastating loss to Ole Miss.
2. Notre Dame* -6½ over Stanford (Saturday)
The rebuilding job continues at Notre Dame. QB Clausen is developing with each outing. The Irish have now won 3 straight at home and we expect another solid performance against a mediocre Pac-10 team. Clausen had a solid game last week against Purdue and should find the Cardinal pass defense as exploitable as they were last week against pass-happy Washington.
3. Texas Tech -7½ over Kansas State* (Saturday)
Texas Tech has been unstoppable facing weak competition. Kansas State has three wins, all against poor opponents. Our bet is on the Red Raiders here, as K-State was pushed to the limit last week by UL-Lafayette, who gashed the Wildcat defense for 335 rushing yards. There is no doubt that Tech QB Harrell will be able to move the team and score plenty of points. We have our doubts that Kansas State can stay close for 4 quarters.
4. Florida State/Miami FL* UNDER 42 (Saturday)
Two tough defensive units should be able to shut down the opposing running games and neither team is particularly scary though the air.
5. Oregon +16½ over Southern Cal* (Saturday Night)
USC looks to rebound from last week's surprising loss to Oregon State on the road. The Trojans fell behind by 21 points and rallied to make a game of it late. The ability of the Beavers to run the ball on the Trojan defense was a surprise. Oregon features a very explosive offense and their ground game is as good as anyone's. We feel the Ducks can make a game of it and stay within 16½.
6. Ohio State -2 over Wisconsin* (Saturday Night)
Ohio State is on the comeback trail, following that awful loss earlier to USC. The Buckeye defense is solid and RB Wells is healthy again. QB Pryor is getting a little better each time out. We believe the edge here goes to the Buckeyes, as Wisconsin lost to Michigan last week in a 4 turnover debacle. The OSU defense should pressure Wisconsin into a few mistakes, too.
7. Missouri/Nebraska* UNDER 69 (Saturday Night)
The number on this game is a remarkably high 69. While Missouri is very explosive, the Huskers are not. Nebraska will need to employ a little ball possession to stay in the game. Therefore, we are expecting a few long Husker drives to consume some clock and make 69 difficult to reach. Missouri is not stellar on defense, but Nebraska should score in long, slow drives.
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
N.L. DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS
Philadelphia (2-0) at Milwaukee (0-2)
On the brink of their first trip to the National League Championship Series since 1993, the Phillies hand the ball to ageless Jamie Moyer (16-7, 3.71 ERA) as this best-of-5 series shifts to Miller Park. Meanwhile, the Brewers turn to the inconsistent Dave Bush (9-10, 4.18) to save their season.
Philadelphia on Thursday did what no other National League team was able to do this year, roughing up Brewers ace CC Sabathia en route to a 5-2 home victory. Shane Victorino’s grand slam sparked a five-run second inning against Sabathia, who lasted just 4 2/3 innings, his shortest stint since joining the Brewers in mid-July.
The Phillies, who got swept in last year’s divisional round, are on runs of 15-3 overall run, 5-1 on the road, 8-0 against the N.L. Central, 5-0 on Saturdays, 11-1 following a day off and 20-7 against right-handed starters. Additionally, since losing the season’s first meeting in Milwaukee, Philly has now won seven straight games against the Brewers. Those seven wins have come by the combined tally of 37-14, and the Phillies have held Milwaukee to three runs or fewer in each victory.
Milwaukee, which is back in the playoffs for the first time since the 1982 World Series, is 3-13 in its last 16 against winning teams and has lost nine straight contests to N.L. East foes. On the bright side, the Brewers went 49-32 at home this year (6-1 in the last seven), and they’re on positive runs of 11-4 on Saturdays and 8-2 when hosting Philadelphia at Miller Park.
Moyer won his final six decisions in the regular season, and Philadelphia went 7-0 in his last seven starts overall and 6-0 in his last six on the road. The 45-year-old lefty allowed one run on six hits in six innings in each of his final two outings – a 4-3 home win over the Nationals and 5-2 road victory at Florida.
Moyer went 10-3 with a 2.92 ERA in 17 starts on the highway this season, with the Phillies winning 13 of those contests. He’s also 9-5 with a 3.63 ERA in 22 career appearances (17 starts) against the Brewers, including 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two games this season (both Philly wins). Finally, Moyer is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA in five playoff stats, including a no-decision in the Phillies’ season-ending 2-1 loss at Colorado in Game 3 of last year’s NLDS.
Bush pitched three innings of scoreless relief in last Saturday’s 7-3 home loss to the Cubs, and Milwaukee was just 1-4 in his last five starts. He gave up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts after Aug. 1, including each of his last four. Bush, who is pitching in the postseason for the first time, went 6-4 with a 3.50 ERA in 17 games (16 starts) at Miller Park. Also, he has a 5.88 ERA in six career starts against the Phillies, failing to get a decision in any of those contests, with Milwaukee going 4-2 (1-1 this year).
The under is 3-0 in the last three meetings between these teams and is on further runs of 6-1 for the Brewers overall, 4-1 for the Brewers at home, 39-17-4 for the Brewers against the N.L. East, 7-3 for the Phillies overall, 4-1 for the Phillies on the road, 4-1 for the Phillies in the playoffs, 15-6 in Moyer’s last 21 starts overall and 16-5 in his last 21 outings on the road. However, with Bush on the mound, Milwaukee has over steaks of 5-0 overall, 16-5-1 at home and 12-5-1 against the N.L. East, and all six of his starts against the Phillies have topped the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER
Chicago Cubs (0-2) at L.A. Dodgers (2-0)
Needing a victory to keep their season alive, the scuffling Cubs hand the ball to Rich Harden (5-1, 1.77) in Game 3 of a best-of-5 divisional series at Dodger Stadium, while Los Angeles will counter with rookie Hiroki Kuroda (9-10, 3.73).
The Dodgers stunned the Cubs at Wrigley Field in Games 1 and 2, outscoring Chicago 17-5 after scoring only three runs in three previous games this year at the old yard. Los Angeles, which hasn’t won a postseason series since capturing the 1988 World Series, is on hot streaks of 21-8 overall, 24-9 at home, 7-0 against winning teams, 13-6 against right-handed starters, 5-0 on Saturdays and 4-0 after an off day. However, they’re still just 3-12 in their last 15 postseason outings dating to 1993.
Chicago has now dropped eight straight playoff games. On the positive side, the Cubs are on runs of 21-8 on the highway, 39-20 against right-handed starters, 22-11 against the N.L. West, 4-1 on Saturdays and 8-1 behind Harden this year.
Los Angeles is now on a 4-1 roll against Chicago, but the teams split four-regular season meetings at Dodger Stadium.
Harden was brilliant in his 12 starts with the Cubs after being traded from Oakland in July, giving up two earned runs or fewer in 11 of those 12 contests, including allowing one or no runs nine times. In his final start on Sept. 25 at the Mets, he allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and five walks, failing to get a decision in his team’s 7-6 loss.
Including his time with the A’s, Harden was 10-2 with a 2.07 ERA this year, including 5-2 with a 2.50 ERA on the road. Tonight marks his first career start against the Dodgers, and in his only playoff outing back in the 2006 A.L. Championship Series, Harden surrendered three runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 3-0 loss to the Tigers.
Kuroda, whom the Dodgers acquired from Japan in the offseason, was sharp in his final regular-season start, giving up two hits in five scoreless innings at the Giants on Sunday. He didn’t register a decision, as Los Angeles lost 3-1, ending a 4-0 run with Kuroda on the hill.
The right-handed Kuroda was 6-2 with a 3.68 ERA in 14 home starts this season, including a complete-game 3-0 shutout of the Cubs on June 6, as he scattered four hits, walked none and struck out 11. He also pitched at Wrigley Field 10 days earlier, giving up two runs (one earned) on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings, losing 3-1.
The first two games of this series topped the total, and the over is on runs of 7-2 for Chicago overall, 5-2 for Chicago on the road, 9-3 for Chicago in the playoffs, 6-2 for the Dodgers overall, 4-1 for the Dodgers at home, 4-1 for the Dodgers in postseason play, 4-1-1 with Kuroda on the hill overall and 5-2 when Kuroda works in Los Angeles.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and OVER
N.L. DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS
Philadelphia (2-0) at Milwaukee (0-2)
On the brink of their first trip to the National League Championship Series since 1993, the Phillies hand the ball to ageless Jamie Moyer (16-7, 3.71 ERA) as this best-of-5 series shifts to Miller Park. Meanwhile, the Brewers turn to the inconsistent Dave Bush (9-10, 4.18) to save their season.
Philadelphia on Thursday did what no other National League team was able to do this year, roughing up Brewers ace CC Sabathia en route to a 5-2 home victory. Shane Victorino’s grand slam sparked a five-run second inning against Sabathia, who lasted just 4 2/3 innings, his shortest stint since joining the Brewers in mid-July.
The Phillies, who got swept in last year’s divisional round, are on runs of 15-3 overall run, 5-1 on the road, 8-0 against the N.L. Central, 5-0 on Saturdays, 11-1 following a day off and 20-7 against right-handed starters. Additionally, since losing the season’s first meeting in Milwaukee, Philly has now won seven straight games against the Brewers. Those seven wins have come by the combined tally of 37-14, and the Phillies have held Milwaukee to three runs or fewer in each victory.
Milwaukee, which is back in the playoffs for the first time since the 1982 World Series, is 3-13 in its last 16 against winning teams and has lost nine straight contests to N.L. East foes. On the bright side, the Brewers went 49-32 at home this year (6-1 in the last seven), and they’re on positive runs of 11-4 on Saturdays and 8-2 when hosting Philadelphia at Miller Park.
Moyer won his final six decisions in the regular season, and Philadelphia went 7-0 in his last seven starts overall and 6-0 in his last six on the road. The 45-year-old lefty allowed one run on six hits in six innings in each of his final two outings – a 4-3 home win over the Nationals and 5-2 road victory at Florida.
Moyer went 10-3 with a 2.92 ERA in 17 starts on the highway this season, with the Phillies winning 13 of those contests. He’s also 9-5 with a 3.63 ERA in 22 career appearances (17 starts) against the Brewers, including 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two games this season (both Philly wins). Finally, Moyer is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA in five playoff stats, including a no-decision in the Phillies’ season-ending 2-1 loss at Colorado in Game 3 of last year’s NLDS.
Bush pitched three innings of scoreless relief in last Saturday’s 7-3 home loss to the Cubs, and Milwaukee was just 1-4 in his last five starts. He gave up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts after Aug. 1, including each of his last four. Bush, who is pitching in the postseason for the first time, went 6-4 with a 3.50 ERA in 17 games (16 starts) at Miller Park. Also, he has a 5.88 ERA in six career starts against the Phillies, failing to get a decision in any of those contests, with Milwaukee going 4-2 (1-1 this year).
The under is 3-0 in the last three meetings between these teams and is on further runs of 6-1 for the Brewers overall, 4-1 for the Brewers at home, 39-17-4 for the Brewers against the N.L. East, 7-3 for the Phillies overall, 4-1 for the Phillies on the road, 4-1 for the Phillies in the playoffs, 15-6 in Moyer’s last 21 starts overall and 16-5 in his last 21 outings on the road. However, with Bush on the mound, Milwaukee has over steaks of 5-0 overall, 16-5-1 at home and 12-5-1 against the N.L. East, and all six of his starts against the Phillies have topped the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER
Chicago Cubs (0-2) at L.A. Dodgers (2-0)
Needing a victory to keep their season alive, the scuffling Cubs hand the ball to Rich Harden (5-1, 1.77) in Game 3 of a best-of-5 divisional series at Dodger Stadium, while Los Angeles will counter with rookie Hiroki Kuroda (9-10, 3.73).
The Dodgers stunned the Cubs at Wrigley Field in Games 1 and 2, outscoring Chicago 17-5 after scoring only three runs in three previous games this year at the old yard. Los Angeles, which hasn’t won a postseason series since capturing the 1988 World Series, is on hot streaks of 21-8 overall, 24-9 at home, 7-0 against winning teams, 13-6 against right-handed starters, 5-0 on Saturdays and 4-0 after an off day. However, they’re still just 3-12 in their last 15 postseason outings dating to 1993.
Chicago has now dropped eight straight playoff games. On the positive side, the Cubs are on runs of 21-8 on the highway, 39-20 against right-handed starters, 22-11 against the N.L. West, 4-1 on Saturdays and 8-1 behind Harden this year.
Los Angeles is now on a 4-1 roll against Chicago, but the teams split four-regular season meetings at Dodger Stadium.
Harden was brilliant in his 12 starts with the Cubs after being traded from Oakland in July, giving up two earned runs or fewer in 11 of those 12 contests, including allowing one or no runs nine times. In his final start on Sept. 25 at the Mets, he allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and five walks, failing to get a decision in his team’s 7-6 loss.
Including his time with the A’s, Harden was 10-2 with a 2.07 ERA this year, including 5-2 with a 2.50 ERA on the road. Tonight marks his first career start against the Dodgers, and in his only playoff outing back in the 2006 A.L. Championship Series, Harden surrendered three runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 3-0 loss to the Tigers.
Kuroda, whom the Dodgers acquired from Japan in the offseason, was sharp in his final regular-season start, giving up two hits in five scoreless innings at the Giants on Sunday. He didn’t register a decision, as Los Angeles lost 3-1, ending a 4-0 run with Kuroda on the hill.
The right-handed Kuroda was 6-2 with a 3.68 ERA in 14 home starts this season, including a complete-game 3-0 shutout of the Cubs on June 6, as he scattered four hits, walked none and struck out 11. He also pitched at Wrigley Field 10 days earlier, giving up two runs (one earned) on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings, losing 3-1.
The first two games of this series topped the total, and the over is on runs of 7-2 for Chicago overall, 5-2 for Chicago on the road, 9-3 for Chicago in the playoffs, 6-2 for the Dodgers overall, 4-1 for the Dodgers at home, 4-1 for the Dodgers in postseason play, 4-1-1 with Kuroda on the hill overall and 5-2 when Kuroda works in Los Angeles.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and OVER
