Playing mostly long shots so I only need to hit 2 or 3 for a profitable afternoon. Excited about a few of these races - should be an entertaining day.
By the way, tip o' the cap to Flightline. Holy crap, what an amazing run!
R1 - #3 Nobilis (6-1) I spent way too much time trying to find a winner in this race. Finally settled here for no other reason than I couldn't find anything that caused me to chuck him. Good day to show up late.
R2 - #5 Cold As Hell (10-1) I'm going to try and beat Happy Farm here. CAH ran well under Saez in last try and has thrown down a bullet since. Blinkers come off for him as well.
R3 - #7 Charge Account (3-1) An angle I always look for is four straight races with improving Beyers. Morley had this one on a steady improve before getting claimed - now makes first start for Maker. No drop off there. Also gets Irad today, who appears to be going on one of his patented hot streaks.
R4 - #7 Willie Mc (12-1) Stepping up in class after the romp at Monmouth, maybe that gave him a boost of confidence? I'm not enamored with anything other than the chalk, so I'm going to take a shot in the hopes of seeing this former Evangeline Downs runner win at The Spa.
R5 - #1 Golquist (7-2) nearly won at 42-1 in debut at Saratoga going a mile, now turns back to 5.5f, which I think is the perfect move. Weaver hits at 20% going route to sprint, and this guy is a $310k purchase - maybe we haven't seen his ceiling yet?
R6 - #5 Stunningly (8-1) got shellacked in debut at Churchill after being hammered at the windows, but to be fair, the first two finishers have each come back to win again. She's had 6 works here since arriving including a 47.2 buried back on July 31st. I really love this filly here at anything over 5-1.
R7- #7 Prouver (8-1) Sire (Justify) hits at 23% with firsters on grass. Add the fact DeVaux is money with young turf horses and you have a diamond in the rough here. Enough to lure Saez = enough to lure me.
R8 - #2 Mystic Eyes (10-1) The two favorites look like bounce candidates after each running career bests last time out. I usually look for a double digit shot in races like this. Landed here as Pletcher finally makes the move to dirt with his stakes-winning turf filly. The man knows a hell of a lot more about horses than I ever will - maybe he has a trick up his sleeve here?
R9 - #10 Citizen K (10-1) He lost the lead late in his first try going long at same level earlier in the meet. I expect improvement in second try.
R10 - #6 Jocosity (4-1) Making third career start and stretching out to what should be a better distance for her at 1 1/8. Blew it as the favorite in last try at a mile. She seems to have a good mix of early and late speed - maybe she'll take control of the pace today and force the rest come and get her?
R11 - #8 Aunt Shirley (5-1) What a race this should be! I'm on the daughter of Justify (big surprise) after watching Irad jump off Grade 3 winner Just Cindy (another Justify daughter) to ride this one for Brisset. He had multiple options in this race - seems interesting he chose Shirley.
R12 - #4 Lemme Get It (10-1) Gets a nice jockey upgrade while switching surfaces, dropping in class, and running with second time Lasix. Enough to like at double digits.
Good luck today!
By the way, tip o' the cap to Flightline. Holy crap, what an amazing run!
R1 - #3 Nobilis (6-1) I spent way too much time trying to find a winner in this race. Finally settled here for no other reason than I couldn't find anything that caused me to chuck him. Good day to show up late.
R2 - #5 Cold As Hell (10-1) I'm going to try and beat Happy Farm here. CAH ran well under Saez in last try and has thrown down a bullet since. Blinkers come off for him as well.
R3 - #7 Charge Account (3-1) An angle I always look for is four straight races with improving Beyers. Morley had this one on a steady improve before getting claimed - now makes first start for Maker. No drop off there. Also gets Irad today, who appears to be going on one of his patented hot streaks.
R4 - #7 Willie Mc (12-1) Stepping up in class after the romp at Monmouth, maybe that gave him a boost of confidence? I'm not enamored with anything other than the chalk, so I'm going to take a shot in the hopes of seeing this former Evangeline Downs runner win at The Spa.
R5 - #1 Golquist (7-2) nearly won at 42-1 in debut at Saratoga going a mile, now turns back to 5.5f, which I think is the perfect move. Weaver hits at 20% going route to sprint, and this guy is a $310k purchase - maybe we haven't seen his ceiling yet?
R6 - #5 Stunningly (8-1) got shellacked in debut at Churchill after being hammered at the windows, but to be fair, the first two finishers have each come back to win again. She's had 6 works here since arriving including a 47.2 buried back on July 31st. I really love this filly here at anything over 5-1.
R7- #7 Prouver (8-1) Sire (Justify) hits at 23% with firsters on grass. Add the fact DeVaux is money with young turf horses and you have a diamond in the rough here. Enough to lure Saez = enough to lure me.
R8 - #2 Mystic Eyes (10-1) The two favorites look like bounce candidates after each running career bests last time out. I usually look for a double digit shot in races like this. Landed here as Pletcher finally makes the move to dirt with his stakes-winning turf filly. The man knows a hell of a lot more about horses than I ever will - maybe he has a trick up his sleeve here?
R9 - #10 Citizen K (10-1) He lost the lead late in his first try going long at same level earlier in the meet. I expect improvement in second try.
R10 - #6 Jocosity (4-1) Making third career start and stretching out to what should be a better distance for her at 1 1/8. Blew it as the favorite in last try at a mile. She seems to have a good mix of early and late speed - maybe she'll take control of the pace today and force the rest come and get her?
R11 - #8 Aunt Shirley (5-1) What a race this should be! I'm on the daughter of Justify (big surprise) after watching Irad jump off Grade 3 winner Just Cindy (another Justify daughter) to ride this one for Brisset. He had multiple options in this race - seems interesting he chose Shirley.
R12 - #4 Lemme Get It (10-1) Gets a nice jockey upgrade while switching surfaces, dropping in class, and running with second time Lasix. Enough to like at double digits.
Good luck today!
