San Jose State vs New Mexico State 10/30/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with San Jose State winning 52% of simulations, and New Mexico State 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. San Jose State commits fewer turnovers in 30% of simulations and they go on to win 70% when they take care of the ball. New Mexico State wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brandon Rutley is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Seth Smith is averaging 83 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST +3

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