San Diego State vs TCU 11/13/2010

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TCU is a heavy favorite winning 95% of simulations over San Diego State. Andy Dalton is averaging 223 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Ed Wesley is projected for 118 rushing yards and a 75% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 5% of simulations where San Diego State wins, Ryan Lindley averages 1.17 TD passes vs 0.6 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.56 TDs to 1.16 interceptions. Ronnie Hillman averages 100 rushing yards and 0.84 rushing TDs when San Diego State wins and 80 yards and 0.35 TDs in losses. TCU has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TCU -27

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