San Diego State vs New Mexico 10/23/2010

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San Diego State is a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over New Mexico. Ryan Lindley is averaging 291 passing yards and 2.59 TDs per simulation and Ronnie Hillman is projected for 138 rushing yards and a 90% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where New Mexico wins, Tarean Austin averages 1.36 TD passes vs 0.83 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.61 TDs to 1.37 interceptions. Kasey Carrier averages 46 rushing yards and 0.43 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 37 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. San Diego State has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMEX +22.5

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