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Sep 3, 2005
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YTD Totals

+10.75 units (Cup Match-Ups)
+00.60 units (N'wide Match-Ups)
+01.50 units (Prop/Outrights)

Total: +12.85 units

Some really wild numbers out there for this race, like a lot of match-ups today. Liked even more than I played but was not willing to pay the price on a bunch of 'em.

Ready to make some $$$$ I gave back yesterday.

Match-Ups

2.00 units Denny Hamlin (-105) over Clint Bowyer (@sportsbook.com)
Tough to go against RCR the way they been running but I think this JGR #11 of Hamlin has put the pieces together. After a win at Martinsville and probably a win at Bristol(if not for the fuel pick-up problem on the last lap) they go to Texas where they have finished Top 10 in every race but one.
This has not been Bowyer's best track, only one Top 10 finish, like to see it stay that way for one more race.

2.00 units Martin Truex Jr (-125) over Kurt Busch (@thegreek)
Truex's DEI team has under achieved a little to start this year, only one Top 10 so far but a worst finish of 21st, not awful, but not what they expect for sure. Texas is a place they can get back to how they ran last year, its one of Truex best tracks (9.4 avg. finish in 5 starts with a worst of 15th).

1.00 unit Brian Vickers (-120) over Jamie McMurray (@thegreek)
Hoping McMurray was a one race wonder last week in Martinsville where he finished 8th, his best finish before that 22nd. Vickers' Red Bull Team has done better than average so far and seem to run better on the bigger tracks, finished 9th at Atlanta.

1.00 unit Dale Earnhardt Jr. (-130) over Kyle Busch (@5dimes)
If Jr's going to break that winner's circle drought this race is one of his best chances. Always been a good track for him and has been really consistent so far with Hendrick. With Busch you know what you've got but you don't know where you'll end up.

1.00 unit Matt Kenseth (+140) over Carl Edwards (@sportsbook.com)
More of a Value play than anything. Edwards is the favorite today but Kenseth has done really well here(2nd, 2nd, 12th, 2nd and 3rd last five) and he qualified well, when that happens he is a threat.

1.00 unit Paul Menard (-110) over Dave Blaney (@5dimes)
More of a play against Blaney and this BDR team. The only thing that worries me is that they are desperate. Not in the Top 35 and best finish was 26th.

1.00 unit Tony Stewart (-110) over Jeff Burton (@5dimes)
Gut play.

1.00 unit Juan Pablo Montoya (-125) over Casey Mears (@5dimes)
Montoya seems to be a consistent 13th-19th and seems to really improve with every race. Ran 8th here last year. This 42 team the last six at Texas has a finish avg. of 11.2.


Prop

2.00 Juan Pablo Montoya (3 to 1) to win group (@sportsbook.com)
over Labonte/McMurray/Waltrip/Hornish

Good luck to everybody.

Outright

0.50 unit Matt Kenseth (+985) (@thegreek)
 

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