Rutgers vs West Virginia 12/4/2010

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West Virginia is a heavy favorite winning 93% of simulations over Rutgers. Geno Smith is averaging 216 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Noel Devine is projected for 101 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 7% of simulations where Rutgers wins, Chas Dodd averages 0.87 TD passes vs 0.89 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.4 TDs to 1.14 interceptions. Joe Martinek averages 46 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when Rutgers wins and 41 yards and 0.11 TDs in losses. West Virginia has a 31% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WVA -20.5

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