Rutgers vs Cincinnati 11/17/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Rutgers winning 44% of simulations, and Cincinnati 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Rutgers commits fewer turnovers in 45% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Cincinnati wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jawan Jamison is averaging 100 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. George Winn is averaging 95 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CIN -6.5
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