RJC week 3

[Rjcsjc62]

I am thinking about playing the Over tonight, and the line is dropping (currently 48, -103 pinny) so I have until kick off. Any thoughts?

I see a Stamps team whose biggest problems are protecting the ball, and giving up the big plays, and an Argos team coming off of scoring 38, and are yet to give up less than 500 yards in a game.

I do not like following team trends much, particularily when the trends span over an off-season and/or coaching changes. It appears that alot of trends point to the under. Is that what is making this line so low?

I think this game could be a shootout, I see no reason why this game cant be the highest scoring game of the week and yet it is 8.5 points lower than the Riders/Esks line.

One thing that I dont know is how a short week for both teams translates to overs/unders. Does anyone have anything on that?

 

[Rjcsjc62]

Looks like I am on the other side of many, and if I understand Carolina's thread, then picking the side with no juice means that I am betting against the "sharp" money?

but I will put half a unit to play a hunch.

Cal/Tor Over 48, -101 (0.5 units)

2010: 1-4 (-1.81 units)

I would love to see the Stamps win, and I am encouraged by how many people are on them. But I am a little worried about them staying in Ont all week, and the possible look-ahead to the big Riders game next week, if I were to play a side it would be TO or nothing. To me whether the Stamps win or lose, I think it will go over a very low number.

 

[PassTheBuck]

The side is very hard to pick. I think with a lot of you guys on the over, and Cleo Lemon showing signs of life last game, I might tail for a small amount. GL.

 

[Rjcsjc62]

Woof, woof.

WPG ML +154 (0.5 units)
BC ML +201 (0.5 units)

2010: 2-4 (1.31 units)

Really like both of these, and is as much a play against Ham and Mtl as it is for Wpg, or BC.

If the first one wins, I may put a little more on BC. Mtl, has been getting torched with their secondary and play a team featuring the leagues best receiver today, and arguably the best group of receivers (I think as a whole SSK may have a better corps). getting +200 looks great to me I think they have a great chance to win outright, and I dont think there has been a dog cover yet this year that hasn't won SU as well, so ML seems like the right thing to do.

However I am going Stampeding today, so I may not even be able to see the first one, and may not be able to see by the second game.

Good Luck everyone.

 

[douglas]

bol on your games tonight.

 

[seer]

I dont think there has been a dog cover yet this year that hasn't won SU as well, so ML seems like the right thing to do.
bol on the plays. i have the same
u are incorrect on the dog winning su there have been 3 to my knowledge - maybe more? they are listed below

just on weds of this week tor won as a 5.5 dog su that i nailed.

sask won as a dog
and the biggest dog of all toronto beat wpg getting 11.5 last week

 

[Rjcsjc62]

Sorry seer, I think we are trying to say the same thing, but I could have chosen my words better.

I dont believe that an underdog has covered yet without winning the game SU as well.

I soon as I can figure out how to post a picture from my cell phone I will show a picture of the rodeo today. I didnt realize how good the seats were, and like anything, what a difference. I'm not even a big rodeo guy, but seeing it from that close is impressive.

Looks like WPG is off to slow start.