Results for Week 12 (4-1 Top Plays, every Teaser wins as Pleaser!)

Search

Chomping at the bits
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,118
Tokens
Hi all, here's a recap of last week's plays and the ytd. plus a little talk about "Quality Losses."

Top Plays 4-1
W -- 2 Team Teaser Colts-2.5/Patriots-.5
W -- 2 Team Teaser Eagles-1/Packers PK
W -- 2 Team Teaser Texans+7.5/Bills+10.5
If you compare these to the final scores, you will see that every one of these 6 games covered as a 6-point Pleaser! lol...if I'd only played them as such.
W -- Steelers/Redskins Under 36
L -- Eagles/Giants Over 37.5 Hmm...Let's count the ways the Gints might have scored a single touchdown in this game to put it Over. #1 Don't throw an interception in the endzone. #2 Don't commit Personal Fouls from the sidelines. #3 Don't drop a 4th and long pass that puts you in the Red Zone. #4 Don't go 0-3 in the Red Zone. Lousy Gints, lol.
Every time I lose a play, I of course ask myself why it lost. Not just for excuses like above -- but in games where you really had the wrong side of a play. Often when you look at the numbers you feel you still made the right play but didn't catch any breaks to cover. Games like this where you end up close I consider "Quality Losses" -- where the handicapping was good, but the results weren't. Been thinking about this since Sunday because I feel like a had a number of Quality Losses Sunday, lol.

2ndary Plays 4-4
W -- 2 Team Teaser Redskins+17/Raiders+17
W -- 2 Team Teaser Panthers +10/Chargers +10
W -- Colts/Lions Under 54
L -- Cowboys/Bears Over 35.5
L -- Browns +6. Pick 6 in the last 1.5 minutes = Quality Loss
L -- Falcons/Saints Over 46 -- 45 Points scored in game = Quality Loss
L -- Broncos/Raiders Under 45.5 -- 0-0 Score with 1:55 remaining in 1st half = Quality Loss. (Not to mention the 4th and 5 score by the Raiders to win.)
W -- Chiefs/Chargers Over 51.5

Sure, you get breaks and breaks go against you, it just sucks to lose a lot of close ones on one day.

Halftime Hedges 0-2 (Posted plays not for others to play, just personal hedges that I count towards my record.)
Colts/Lions Over 25.5 2nd half
Ravens +4 2nd half

Year to date in next post.
 

Chomping at the bits
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,118
Tokens
Well, I've gone back and logged EVERY pick I've posted on the forum this year. Unfortunately, I had a couple of really good weeks before I started posting -- weeks where I swept all my big teaser plays, so alas and a...something, my record here is not as good as it's really been overall.

TOP PLAYS
15-9

2NDARY PLAYS
28-18-1

HALFTIME HEDGES (Posted not for others to plays, but as hedges I count towards my record.) 0-2

59.2% on the year (including the HT hedges).

I'll post my lines for all the games tomorrow.
 

Chomping at the bits
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
8,118
Tokens
Converting to units

Well, I might as well convert everything to units, because I play a high volume of picks. Previously listed Top Plays were basically 2 unit plays, 2ndary plays 1 unit. So, converting that over...

Year to Date
58-38-1 = +20 Units with all plays being 1 or 2 units thus far.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,118,850
Messages
13,560,384
Members
100,694
Latest member
vn88locker
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com