RD Smith's MLB Totals

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8/25

SD under 6.5 * Balt over 11.5 co-pods, Phils under 8.5, & Mets under 8.5, LAA over 8 small. Det. & Minny straight up.
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8/26

:think:Only have time for the picks on this site as have to get my clients their picks w/units plus analyses in time. I know I didn't come out of the gate strong last nt. but did hit 2 of 3 at the top; as I always say, my alalysis is more important than my pick. Read it & if you agree lay it on, if you don't agree back off. I missed the fact that Balt v W Sox was going to be the 2nd of a double header, my bad-but it wasn't in the paper, scores & odds nor Don Best. Hope to come back strong for the rest of the wk., as football approaches, the lines in baseball especially totals take a back seat; too much football for Vegas to worry about. My best totals month is usually Sept. Feiner, Hurley, Winn, Sturgeon charge more per day than what I charge per wk. w/no guarantee. Take a chance for $15, read my analyses, you decide from there. Can't stay in business w/a small client base and I know many of you are waiting for hockey. 85% last yr. was insane, I will never duplicate that, but I do know my pucks. BOL RDS
 

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back

Ariz. under 7, 2*, StL under 8 1.5*, TB under 7 1.5*, LAD under 8.5* 1*, Yks. under 9.5 1*, Houston over 9 .5*, Cubs over 8.5 .5*, & LAA under 8 .5*. Opinions: FL +135, Col. -125, Balt over 11, Cleve w/Lee -160. If you like what you see, sign up for a wks. package and get them before they go off. BOL RDS
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I'm back

Hit my 2* and both 1.5* on Wed., yesterday was a small card 4-1 but only 1.5*. Small card again tonight: TB under 7.5 tops the list, Cinci under 8.5, Houston over 9, Yks. over 9, & RedSx under 9. Beer $ parlay w/ Col. -165 & LAA -1.5 - 125. Went 4-0 in college foots w/ Buffalo BULLS, not Bills, Wake, So. Car. & the under. Tonight it's the Rice Owls -3 if you're lucky or 3.5. Tommorows nooner is Pitts. but am going to tease them to less than a touch w/ Memphis more than 2 touches. Am looking @ Bama on a tease + 12, Kansas, & W. Mich +14. Tune in tomorow. You've got my e-mail, don't be a stranger, as I always say the analysis is more important than the pick. I read a lot of "experts" and some things they say make sense & others don't. Read and be the judge. BOL RDS
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posting for RD

Gave me 2 plays earlier but was away from my computer: Yks. over 10 1* & FL-165 1*, too late now but has some late plays-Ariz -150 .5* Boston @ 11 only over .5*, Texas only @ 11 over .5*, Tenn. -7 .5*, and teaser with Fresno +11 and Tenn. pk. .5*. Afternoon picks finished last week, tonight's picks start this weeks action. Has been keeping his units low for the week but a little over .500 inc. juice.
 

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had Philly & Dallas over at top of pg. yesterday

Not so good Sat. nor Sun. All clients get next wk. free. $15 per wk. for rxers, e-mail in post 1. If you want tonight free give me a hollar @ that address. Totals have been gd., give it a try, new week starts tomorrow. Totals, baseball, & football in that order. Not many gms. to concetrate on today. RD
 

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had Philly & Dallas over at top of pg. yesterday

triplicate jeez
 
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don't have time for analyses

After hitting pod and going +4* yesterday, coming back heavy as I have some bad lines that need to be taken advantage of: Balt. over 10 2*, Detroit over 10, 1.5*, Atlanta over 8 1.5*, Mets under 8.5 1*, Milwaukee under 9.5 1*, StL under 8.5 1*, RSox under 8.5 1*, Minn. under 9 1*. Gms.: Houston 1*, LAD 1*, WSox 1*, FL .5*, Ariz. .5*, LAA .5*. BOL as always RDS
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time to get aboard

$15 per wk. for rxers, low units .5* to 1.5* w/an occassional pom @ 2 or 2.5. Even so, am up 7.5* for week after nailing USC Sat. and going 4-1 in college, loss was 1 pter. w/Clemson. Yesterday 3-1 in pros and 4-1 in bases. Not too much to look @ tonight, but we start a new week tomorrow. BOL RDS
 

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Free week for all

$20 per wk., $15 for rxers, if I don't get you $ inc. vig., next week is free. Although I hit pod 2* Mich. St. on Sat., went 4-1 on bases yesterday, and hit 1.5* pod Denver over yesterday; did not hit my mark. Read, see if you like what you read, e-mail is in first post by a veteran client.
Phils on 9-1 run into the playoffs, Atl. 3-11, 3.6 rpg. on nitr rd. ag. L, Chipper out, lay the -160, 1.5* to win 1*
LAA 8-2 of late, 9-4, 4.8 rpg. ag. L on nite rd.; Seattle 0-10 of late, 14-21, 3.7 rpg. here ag. R @ nt., only 1 way to go. -160 1.5* to win 1*
Cubs on 8-2 run, veteran Marquis v. newbee Niese, Cubs hit L 5.6 here, whereas Mets hit R 4.6 here. Cubs +125 looks like 1*
Boston 26-13, 5.2 rpg., Beckett < 1 era. last 3, gd. $ line palay partner and -1.5, -140 1*
Webb and Wellenmeyer both pitching well, Webb's team still in contention, he's looking for a CY Young, 8.2 tot. run teams in a 8.9 run park keeps this a small play @ 7.5, under 7.5 for beer $$ or parlay partner
KC 8-2 of late but 7-17, 3.4 rpg.ag. R on nite rd., Det. 6.2 rpg. here, Greinke outpitches Miner who has had recent problems (> 11 era last 3), 11.6 run park, so if anything over 9.5 w/odds for .5* or parlay partner
No book on Price, not much on Bass, although has thrown decently, teams combine for an ave. 10 rpg. in a park that yields 10.9 @ nt., a small lean to the over 10, beer $$ or parlay partner
Tex. over 10.5, beer $$ or parlay partner, questionable pitching, Smith >4, Millwood >9, Tex. pen worst in both leagues.
Football: SD has won & covered 7 of last 8 hm. contests, prdicted score 30-16, too close to the posted total, can Tomlinson get 'er going? Favre has been a huge bonus in the huddle and throwing the ball hence 9 going to 8. Have to go SD -8 for 1* and a teaser SD -1 w/over 38 for 1*.
Units range from .5 to 1.5*, w/pod maybe 2, and pom maybe 2.5; no higher; that your play per unit, if you can't pull the trigger on a gm. I recommend a 2 team parlay as they pay more in baseball than other sports, beer $$ is what I lay to win 30-40. BOL RDS
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good night, last night

I'll take 5 of 6 at top of the pg. any day. Not going to risk many units of last night's +3.5 on no name pitchers and nothing to play for teams, but everybody needs action so here goes:
Back w/Phils ag. Hampton, if Reyes make it beer $$, Atl. 3-13, 3.6 rpg. ag. L on nite road, Chipper MIA, Hamels has been ave. of late, so don't bet the farm 1*
LAA 10-4, 4.9 rpg. ag. L on nite rd., Seattle 14-22, 3.6 rpg. here, Seattle has to win sometime so again only 1*
Mets w/Santana, Cubs resting players, Mets hit L hm. nite 16-2, 6.2 rpg. 1* Got to hit 2 of 3 to be close to even
Milw under 9.5 w/Stl. under 8 beer $$ parlay
SD 12-24, 3 rpg. here, LAD 16-6, 4.4 rpg here, Billingsly the better chucker than Leblanc 1*
You know I love Lincecum and under when he pitches, but 165 and 7u is out of my league, unless you get better numbers-pass
Boston 16-3, 7.5 rpg. here ag. L, but Cliff Lee is no ordinary L, pass, nice gm. to watch
WSox-Minny, beer $$ on the under 8.5, Vasquez & Baker both in gd. form recently.
BOL RDS
 

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Yea, we lost vig. last nt. by splitting

Nothing big until football or baseball playoff: Tor. -140 1* pod, Cubs +110 .5*, Milw. under 7.5 .5*, Atl. +1.5 +150 beer $$, StL under 8 w/ Det. over 10 beer $$ parlay. BOL RDS
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5-1 last nt. but small only netted 1 unit

Baseball is a joke from now to end of season as nobody is playing for anything and 2 football gms? Give me a break! +4* for the week, small until we get to some meaningful gms.
Usc -25 1* teaser USC -18 w/Tulane -11 .5*
Cubs -120 beer $$
Milw under 9 .5*
Tor. -175 .5*
Minny -150 .5*
BOL RDS
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USC hurt, but w/3 b-ball winners, lost only beer $$

Tonight is not much action but last day of free wk., to see more tomorrow and beyond just sign up for next wk. and get this weekend free:
Danks hasn't given up a run his last 2 starts, Sox 13-4 @ hm. v. L at nite, 5.4 rpg. I'll take W Sox for 1*
No real opinion on the football, but I wouldn't look to the 'ville nor the over
Volstad v. Pelfrey, interesting match-up @ Shea, both have been in gd. form, beer $$ to the under 9
Campillo v. Moehler exact opposite, 9.4 teams in 9.3 park w/bad pitching and not much in the pens, over 9 for beer $$
I know Ariz. is playing for nothing but Col. has been for a while, Haren v. Hirsh, no action line, pitching line Ariz. -150 .5*
LAD w/Lowe, 0.6 last two ag. Hennessey/Tennessee 6.5 last 2. Dodgers not playing for anything, but @ a pick, I'll take them for .5*
Aceves v. Dice K., 1.5 v.. 0.75 era last 2, Boston w/something to play for, beer $$ parlay w/Sox and under 9
Balt. @ hm. @ nt. ag. R is almost automatic especially w/Muddy Waters, over 10.5 but only beer $$ because Jays haven't proven they can hit even bad L
Back to the Pale Hose, Lewis is not dog meat either, 2.4 era last two, hence beer $$ on the under 8.5 BOL RDS
 

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USC hurt, but w/3 b-ball winners, lost only beer $$

Last night of free week, if you sign up today will get this weekend in addition to next week. Not a lot to look at but here goes:
Danks has been lights out, no runs last two, WSox 13-4 ag. L @ hm. nite, I'll take the Pale Hose for 1*
Lewis hasn't ben dog meat either, 2.4 over last two, so beer $$ on the under 8.5
Volstad v. Pelfrey, 2 v. 2.7 last two, beer $$ to the under 9
Exact opposite w/Campillo v. Moehler, 9.4 teams in 9.3 park, not much pitching, not gd. pens, over 9 beer $$
I know Ariz. isn't playing for anything, but neither hs been Col., Haren v. Hirsh total mismatch, pitching line only .5* d-backs
Again LAD playing for nothing but playing nobody @ pk. Lowe 0.6 last 2, Hennessey/Tennessey tootally the flute @ 6.5 last 2, give me the better team for .5* LA
Aceves 1.5 v. Dice K. 0.75 last 2, Boston w/something to play for, take beer $$ parlay w/Sox and under 9
Balt. @ hm. @ nt. ag R is almost automatic, but Jays have not shown the ability to hit even bad L like Muddy Waters, so downgrade to beer $$ on over 10.5 BOL RDS
 

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have a phone subscrition to wp & pw

Was gonna post on the forum, but Wil told me since I went tout, not to; so I apologize, was gonna post wp & pw. Guess I do it here. Sat. pw lost top 3, 3-5 overall, wp Sat. hit top 2, 3-3 overall, Sun. pw hit it big 5-0!! wp lost top pick and went 3-1. I picked Bama & Va. Tech as top picks on Sat., both won outright, and went 7-2, Sunday hit top pick Denver over and went 6-1-1. Tonight pw has Pitt. 31-13, wp has Pitt. 27-13, I have Pitt. 23-16. Looks like a consensus of Pitt & over. My service runs Tues.-Mon. playing .5* to a max of 2.5*, won over 10* last week for $20, $15 for rxers w/a guarantee if I don't win inc. vig., next wk. is free. My site is on the first post. For less than the others my analyses are worth the money, not counting the picks. Going to FL for late Jan & Feb., be back for NCAA and HOCKEY! BOL to all of you RDS Again, sorry Wil, hit the wrong key. sincerely, RD
:toast:
 

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we all were 1-1

Any consolation I was closer than the other 2 services, but we all lost on Pitt and won on the over. Tonight beer $$ on the gm. over 9 as Danks and Blackburn have had trouble all season ag. this opponent with eras > 6.5 ea. Let's have dinner and a couple cocktails on the books tonight. RD
:drink:
 

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Starting hockey tonight

For those of you who followed me thru the hockey playoffs last yr. and any newbees, I was 17-3-2, a truly amazing 85%, check my stats w/CP if you want. My first hockey gm. goes off tonight along w/my football and baseball. For all 3 sports I charge $25 for non-rxers and $20 for rxers for THE WEEK. Analyses and picks, if you sign up tonight you get tomorrow and Mon. free as my week runs Tues-Mon. In the event that I have a losing wk., you get a wk. free. E-mail: rdsmith48@twcny.rr.com, I have a paypal acct. under rdsmith48. Tonight's free hockey play, I watched them @ HSBC last night is the Montreal Canadians for 1.5*. My plays range from .5* to 2.5*, so this a fairly strong play. They lost in OT to a much improved Sabres club but the addition of Lang (who went 1st in the shootout) and Tanguay to a highly explosive club w/Cary Price between the pipes means bad news for a Toronto club, not that gd. to start with and maybe missing M. Sundin, their main man. If not fatigued from last night's OT w/Buffalo and Price starts in net, should be money in the bank. Have baseball, football, and other hockey tonight. BOL RDS
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hope you picked up a buck and 1/2

First hockey gm. wins 6-1, +150 for 20 per wk., don't get me wrong, I'm not arrogant, just confident & play all my own plays; isn't that what you want? Someone who is confident, charges less than almost everybody, plays their own plays, wins consistantly, and gives you a guarantee? More hockey tomorrow with some pro football where I only went 6-3-1 last wk., hope to bounce back. BOL RDS
:drink:
 

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