South Carolina: SU: 4-2-0, ATS: 3-3-0
Kentucky: SU: 4-1-0, ATS: 4-1-0
Week 7 Saturday, 10/11/2008 12:30 PM
Play On - Any team (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=16 PPG), after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.
(28-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (77.8%)
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Both of these teams have great defense, but kentucky's has the edge in this game. I think they swarm Smelley and cause him to have an unproductive game, possibly force a few throws. Also their rush D is Great allowing only 2.7 YPR at home, and the Gamecocks are averaging only 2.7 YPR. If they cannot get a run game going, and Kentucky gets pressure on the QB, I don't see the Gamecocks moving the ball much this game. Kentucky's D is getting to the QB 2.4 times per game. Gamecock's O-line is giving up 3.3 sacks per game. Also, the TO ratio greatly Favors the Wildcats, which could lead to some critical points. Overall after looking this game up and down, I feel the Wildcats should be favored by 3 at Home here. With the line moving to the at +3, i'll favor them in this one.
I'll take The Home Doggie here:
Play on: Kentucky +3.5 (-120) (2 Units)