Randizzle's Week 7 NCAAF **(38-10-2)(80%)(+65 Units)!!!**

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Hey Dizzle,
Got any trends on how Troy does off a bye week? Just curious.

Also, loving the Stanford play. Can you say LIVE DOG!

as always... aloha.
 

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I'm with you on Troy...going with 1 or 2 units

Been following you lately and love your picks and totally agree about not unloading on a game
 

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Game 2
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MIAMI OHIO (1 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (2 - 3)
Week 7 Saturday, 10/11/2008 4:00 PM

This game between the Huskies and Red Hawks looks to be a blood bath. The Redhawks avgeraging 1.8 YPR on the road and their Dfense allowing 5.0 YPR could be in for a long day Saturday. Especially when the Huskies are running with great success at Home this season averaging 7.7 YPR and allowing just 1.1 YPR on D!! Passing for Miami (OH) is comparitively poor achieving just 5.2 YPA. Frankly I'm not sure how the Redhawks are going to have any chance at moving the ball or stopping N. Illinois on D. Possible blowout here unless i'm missing something.

Recent Trends:
MIAOH are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Huskies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Redhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Redhawks are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Redhawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

I'm Taking N. Illinois -10.5 (5 Units):toast:

NO ILL IS A MUCH IMPROVED TEAM BUT THEY MAY BE DOWN TO THE THIRD STRING QB..MY FRIEND IS AN ALUMNI. HE WENT TO THE TENN GAME AND SAID THE 3RD STRINGER IS A RUNNNING QB WHO CAN'T PASS.

I'D CHECK THE QB STATUS BEFORE LOCKING IN LOADING..I HAD THEM AS A MUST IN MY 3 TEAM PARLAY BUT NOW I'M WAITING ..GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK:toast:
 

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Hey Dizzle....would you still take Troy @-4...and thanks for last week's winners....appreciate the time you put into this...:toast::modemman:
 

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NO ILL IS A MUCH IMPROVED TEAM BUT THEY MAY BE DOWN TO THE THIRD STRING QB..MY FRIEND IS AN ALUMNI. HE WENT TO THE TENN GAME AND SAID THE 3RD STRINGER IS A RUNNNING QB WHO CAN'T PASS.

I'D CHECK THE QB STATUS BEFORE LOCKING IN LOADING..I HAD THEM AS A MUST IN MY 3 TEAM PARLAY BUT NOW I'M WAITING ..GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK:toast:
Interesting and good to know as I had NIlly locked in as best play.:ok:
 

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NO ILL IS A MUCH IMPROVED TEAM BUT THEY MAY BE DOWN TO THE THIRD STRING QB..MY FRIEND IS AN ALUMNI. HE WENT TO THE TENN GAME AND SAID THE 3RD STRINGER IS A RUNNNING QB WHO CAN'T PASS.

I'D CHECK THE QB STATUS BEFORE LOCKING IN LOADING..I HAD THEM AS A MUST IN MY 3 TEAM PARLAY BUT NOW I'M WAITING ..GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK:toast:
Thanks for the heads up, thats why I love this place. That is news to me, but regardless of who the QB has been this year, the bulk of their offense has been rushing. The way Miami's D plays, they may not need to throw the ball. Still a play for me.
 

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love the troy pick.

i would add the Under there as well at u51.

Also, saw you were looking at the kentucky game. As an SEC guy, im going to make a big play on South Carolina here. Both teams rely on Defense, but USC offense has a lot more talent (which isnt saying too much). Couple this with the punishing game kentucky played last week and I gotta run with USC to win
 

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My weekly writeup is on the Northern Illinois-Miami-Ohio game. The Huskies look to have a matchup edge and a technical edge. The game is on one channel on DirecTv. I think it is the Chicago Tribune Sports Channel or something weird like that.
 

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My weekly writeup is on the Northern Illinois-Miami-Ohio game. The Huskies look to have a matchup edge and a technical edge. The game is on one channel on DirecTv. I think it is the Chicago Tribune Sports Channel or something weird like that.



should be on the espn game plan
 

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love the troy pick.

i would add the Under there as well at u51.

Also, saw you were looking at the kentucky game. As an SEC guy, im going to make a big play on South Carolina here. Both teams rely on Defense, but USC offense has a lot more talent (which isnt saying too much). Couple this with the punishing game kentucky played last week and I gotta run with USC to win


Kentucky has major injuries on the O-line and at WR. Also have a starter out on the D-line according to one of my Gamecock buddies. Not exactly the defense you want to be have a weak offensive line against.
 

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Kentucky has major injuries on the O-line and at WR. Also have a starter out on the D-line according to one of my Gamecock buddies. Not exactly the defense you want to be have a weak offensive line against.

Thanks guys, yeah that initial list were just thoughts at first glance when the lines came out. I have looked into almost every play, and will only be play a few of them. I have found a few others, hence the N.illinois and Florida game that I really like. I will have a few more play throughout the week I will post. Also, I will post some opinions that I do not wager on. GL
 

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I'm with you on Troy...going with 1 or 2 units

Been following you lately and love your picks and totally agree about not unloading on a game

Good to hear, if everyone used Proper MM, there would be a much higher success rate of bettors.
 

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Kentucky has major injuries on the O-line and at WR. Also have a starter out on the D-line according to one of my Gamecock buddies. Not exactly the defense you want to be have a weak offensive line against.


UK does not have injuries to WR.
They just suck. They couldn't catch a cold.

We will be getting our star player back on defense in Micah Johnson.
Plus Randall Cobb will be back. That will help the WR's.

We have 1 offensive lineman out. He is out because he sucks.
Plan to see a lot more running this game from UK than from the past.
They will try to control the ball and let the defense hold up the field position.
 

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Randizzle, a little insight on your NIU play, as I am a student here and know a very good deal about our team. As a previous poster mentioned, the quarterback situation is quite dismal right now. We have a very promising redshirt freshman qb in Chandler Harnish, but he has been hurt since week 2. Our senior, Dan Nicholson, is also hurt..and even if he wasnt, his poor decision making would make it very hard for me to bet on him. The guy most likely to start on saturday is another redshirt freshman, Demarcus Grady..he has almost zero passing game, but can really scoot. Also, about your statistic about our home rushing offense and defense stats, weve only played one home game this season and it was against D-1AA Indiana State, who is terrible even in the 1-AA ranks. Those are the negatives...the positives, however, are that our defense has looked VERY strong as of late, forcing turnovers and pretty much holding Tennessee in check last week. I know Tennessee is down this year, but a MAC team shutting down an SEC team is impressive any way you look at it. NIU usually has a pretty solid home field advantage at Huskie Stadium, as we usually fill a good portion of the student section and the players really get fired up. I'd be a hell of a lot more confident in giving Miami 10.5 points if Garrett Wolfe was still in the backfield, but......haha


Anyways, I wouldnt put money on this. I shouldnt anyways, because you should never bet with your heart, but I still trust your analysis as you have been nasty this year. Go with your gut, man. NIU is definitely better than Miami and SHOULD cover, but Im just not sure. I hope this analysis helps you randizzle, and everyone else interested. Good luck!:toast:

-john
 

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Randizzle, a little insight on your NIU play, as I am a student here and know a very good deal about our team. As a previous poster mentioned, the quarterback situation is quite dismal right now. We have a very promising redshirt freshman qb in Chandler Harnish, but he has been hurt since week 2. Our senior, Dan Nicholson, is also hurt..and even if he wasnt, his poor decision making would make it very hard for me to bet on him. The guy most likely to start on saturday is another redshirt freshman, Demarcus Grady..he has almost zero passing game, but can really scoot. Also, about your statistic about our home rushing offense and defense stats, weve only played one home game this season and it was against D-1AA Indiana State, who is terrible even in the 1-AA ranks. Those are the negatives...the positives, however, are that our defense has looked VERY strong as of late, forcing turnovers and pretty much holding Tennessee in check last week. I know Tennessee is down this year, but a MAC team shutting down an SEC team is impressive any way you look at it. NIU usually has a pretty solid home field advantage at Huskie Stadium, as we usually fill a good portion of the student section and the players really get fired up. I'd be a hell of a lot more confident in giving Miami 10.5 points if Garrett Wolfe was still in the backfield, but......haha


Anyways, I wouldnt put money on this. I shouldnt anyways, because you should never bet with your heart, but I still trust your analysis as you have been nasty this year. Go with your gut, man. NIU is definitely better than Miami and SHOULD cover, but Im just not sure. I hope this analysis helps you randizzle, and everyone else interested. Good luck!:toast:

-john

John, Thanks for your response. You have supplied me with something that no trend, statistic or situation can provide, and that is real-time observation. I'll need to keep in touch as you can be my contact anytime I am leaning toward fading or Playing on NIU. I did notice those home stats were against alcorn, but the overall stats are still overwhelming in that area. I will stay with my gut on this specific play, but that does not mean I do not value the information you have provided for not only me, but everyone who views this thread. Ultimately, I just want EVERYONE who follows my plays to be profitable, and all information that is prudent is valueable to that goal. Keep in touch.

Dizz. :toast:
 

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Randizzle, a little insight on your NIU play, as I am a student here and know a very good deal about our team. As a previous poster mentioned, the quarterback situation is quite dismal right now. We have a very promising redshirt freshman qb in Chandler Harnish, but he has been hurt since week 2. Our senior, Dan Nicholson, is also hurt..and even if he wasnt, his poor decision making would make it very hard for me to bet on him. The guy most likely to start on saturday is another redshirt freshman, Demarcus Grady..he has almost zero passing game, but can really scoot. Also, about your statistic about our home rushing offense and defense stats, weve only played one home game this season and it was against D-1AA Indiana State, who is terrible even in the 1-AA ranks. Those are the negatives...the positives, however, are that our defense has looked VERY strong as of late, forcing turnovers and pretty much holding Tennessee in check last week. I know Tennessee is down this year, but a MAC team shutting down an SEC team is impressive any way you look at it. NIU usually has a pretty solid home field advantage at Huskie Stadium, as we usually fill a good portion of the student section and the players really get fired up. I'd be a hell of a lot more confident in giving Miami 10.5 points if Garrett Wolfe was still in the backfield, but......haha


Anyways, I wouldnt put money on this. I shouldnt anyways, because you should never bet with your heart, but I still trust your analysis as you have been nasty this year. Go with your gut, man. NIU is definitely better than Miami and SHOULD cover, but Im just not sure. I hope this analysis helps you randizzle, and everyone else interested. Good luck!:toast:

-john


I'll be a NIU fan this week. Will you be there live? If you are, yell as loud as possible, especially on 3rd down. This defense should be the best in the MAC in 2008. They can be the Ravens of the MAC. My hometown team has its starting Running Back from Northern Illinois. And he is even better than Wolfe. His name is Michael Turner. A T L
 

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Hey ran i know someone already asked but i didn't see a response. I got in on this late and now line is at -4 is it still a good play.
 

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Arnett

Yeah, I got it in at 3, but I believe 4 should be suffecient here. I think this is atleast a TD game, but its your call. Wish you woulda jumped on when I posted. Good Luck.
 

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