Dizzle on Thursday night games I'm pretty much taking the home team or leaving it be. I leaned FSU but thought back and the home teams are crushing it against the spread. SonnersBS pointed it out earlier this year and man has it played true. I'm not doing the research but it's gotta be over 80%. Good luck this weekend bro!!!
ope:Saturday Games
Game 1
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LSU (4 - 1) at S CAROLINA (5 - 2)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 8:00 PM
"Game Notes: This is LSU’s last road game until Nov. 28 and they’ll face a tough hombre in South Carolina. The Tigers are 10-4-2 ATS as SEC road chalk the last 5 years. Off the big Florida game, LSU is 4-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Though far from perfect as a 4-6 ATS home underdog under coach Spurrier, South Carolina is 2-0 ATS as dog in 2008. What has helped is offensive execution has been improved the last few weeks and the Gamecocks are 6-1 ATS vs. ranked teams under the Ball Coach. LSU is 3-11-1 ATS against SEC East teams the last four years. SC is 2-8 ATS off B2B road games."
The fact of the matter is that LSU is overrated this year. I think Florida helped expose that last week.(And provided me with 5 Units in my pocket.haha) Take a look at LSU's victories.
Week 1- Defeat Appalachian St. at Home 41-13 DI-aa Team.
Week 2- Defeat North Texas 41-3 at Home. (Possibly the worst DI school in nation.)
Week 3- Win at Auburn 26-21. (Auburn is also nothing special this year)
week 4- Beat Miss St. by 10 (the line was -24 on this game)overrated....
Week 5- They take an ass pounding at Florida losing 21-51. (Called that)
South Carolina's only loss this season is to Georgia, and the lost by 7 points. Also, I didn't look this up, but I believe that Spurrier is 11-2 SU against LSU all time.
A few Trends:
LSU is 0-6 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 4-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 18, 2008
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left>South Carolina Gamecocks are 8-3-0 ATS All Games lined from: (3 -> 6.5)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>South Carolina Gamecocks are 5-1-0 ATS After 2 ATS Wins (3 -> 6.5)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
South Carolina Gamecocks are 3-0-0 ATS After 2 Overs (3 -> 6.5)
All things I see point to South Carolina in this one.
I'm Taking South Carolina +2.5* (4 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
*If line get back to +3 before gametime, will make it a 5 Unit Play.
Note*: These write-ups are not very in-depth due to lack of time. Sorry
Game 1
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LSU (4 - 1) at S CAROLINA (5 - 2)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 8:00 PM
"Game Notes: This is LSU’s last road game until Nov. 28 and they’ll face a tough hombre in South Carolina. The Tigers are 10-4-2 ATS as SEC road chalk the last 5 years. Off the big Florida game, LSU is 4-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Though far from perfect as a 4-6 ATS home underdog under coach Spurrier, South Carolina is 2-0 ATS as dog in 2008. What has helped is offensive execution has been improved the last few weeks and the Gamecocks are 6-1 ATS vs. ranked teams under the Ball Coach. LSU is 3-11-1 ATS against SEC East teams the last four years. SC is 2-8 ATS off B2B road games."
The fact of the matter is that LSU is overrated this year. I think Florida helped expose that last week.(And provided me with 5 Units in my pocket.haha) Take a look at LSU's victories.
Week 1- Defeat Appalachian St. at Home 41-13 DI-aa Team.
Week 2- Defeat North Texas 41-3 at Home. (Possibly the worst DI school in nation.)
Week 3- Win at Auburn 26-21. (Auburn is also nothing special this year)
week 4- Beat Miss St. by 10 (the line was -24 on this game)overrated....
Week 5- They take an ass pounding at Florida losing 21-51. (Called that)
South Carolina's only loss this season is to Georgia, and the lost by 7 points. Also, I didn't look this up, but I believe that Spurrier is 11-2 SU against LSU all time.
A few Trends:
LSU is 0-6 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 4-13 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 18, 2008
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left>South Carolina Gamecocks are 8-3-0 ATS All Games lined from: (3 -> 6.5)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>South Carolina Gamecocks are 5-1-0 ATS After 2 ATS Wins (3 -> 6.5)</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
South Carolina Gamecocks are 3-0-0 ATS After 2 Overs (3 -> 6.5)
All things I see point to South Carolina in this one.
I'm Taking South Carolina +2.5* (4 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
*If line get back to +3 before gametime, will make it a 5 Unit Play.
Note*: These write-ups are not very in-depth due to lack of time. Sorry
Game 2
MIAMI (3 - 3) at DUKE (3 - 2)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 3:30 PM
The Duke Blue Devils (3-2, 1-1 ACC) will return to action following a bye week on Saturday when they host Miami (3-3, 0-2 ACC) for homecoming in Wallace Wade Stadium. Duke’s last game was a 27-0 loss at Georgia Tech on Oct. 4 while the Hurricanes are coming off a 20-14 win over Central Florida last weekend. The line here opened at Miami -6, but was quickly brought down to -3. I still think the linesmakers just have it set there because of public perception, and they know they can get better action. With the performances of these two teams YTD, the line should be a Pk or Duke as a small fav.
Some Trends:
Play On - Home underdogs (DUKE) - poor rushing team (100-140 RY/game) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (<=100 RY/game), in conference games.
(40-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%)
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7).
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 18, 2008:
Miami Hurricanes are 9-19-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 5-14-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left>Miami Hurricanes are 0-4-0 ATS As Favorite (3 -> 6.5)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>Miami Hurricanes are 3-9-0 ATS After 1 Wins (All Lines)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>Miami Hurricanes are 0-3-0 ATS After 1 Wins (3 -> 6.5)
All in all, this should shape up to be an entertaing and great game to watch, but I see the Blue Devils covering the spread, and possibly getting the outright win.
I am Taking DUKE BLUE DEVILS +3.5 (4 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
MIAMI (3 - 3) at DUKE (3 - 2)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 3:30 PM
The Duke Blue Devils (3-2, 1-1 ACC) will return to action following a bye week on Saturday when they host Miami (3-3, 0-2 ACC) for homecoming in Wallace Wade Stadium. Duke’s last game was a 27-0 loss at Georgia Tech on Oct. 4 while the Hurricanes are coming off a 20-14 win over Central Florida last weekend. The line here opened at Miami -6, but was quickly brought down to -3. I still think the linesmakers just have it set there because of public perception, and they know they can get better action. With the performances of these two teams YTD, the line should be a Pk or Duke as a small fav.
Some Trends:
Play On - Home underdogs (DUKE) - poor rushing team (100-140 RY/game) against a team with an excellent rushing defense (<=100 RY/game), in conference games.
(40-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%)
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7).
MIAMI is 1-9 ATS after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 18, 2008:
Miami Hurricanes are 9-19-1 ATS All Games (All Lines)
Miami Hurricanes are 5-14-0 ATS As Favorite (All Lines)
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left>Miami Hurricanes are 0-4-0 ATS As Favorite (3 -> 6.5)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>Miami Hurricanes are 3-9-0 ATS After 1 Wins (All Lines)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>Miami Hurricanes are 0-3-0 ATS After 1 Wins (3 -> 6.5)
All in all, this should shape up to be an entertaing and great game to watch, but I see the Blue Devils covering the spread, and possibly getting the outright win.
I am Taking DUKE BLUE DEVILS +3.5 (4 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Game 3
Game 3
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ARMY (2 - 4) at BUFFALO (2 - 4)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 3:30 PM
The Black Knights run an option offense that has yielded less than 60 total pass attempts all season. That could be a problem for them Saturday. Only one player all season has rushed for 100 yards against UB this season. The defense also has not given up a running play of over 24 yards all season. With defensive play like that, the option game of the Black Knights of Army could be in for a struggle in Buffalo.
Some Trends:
Black Knights are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. MAC.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 18, 2008
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left>Buffalo Bulls are 7-2-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>Buffalo Bulls are 8-3-0 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
I am Taking Buffalo Bulls -11 (3 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Game 3
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ARMY (2 - 4) at BUFFALO (2 - 4)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 3:30 PM
The Black Knights run an option offense that has yielded less than 60 total pass attempts all season. That could be a problem for them Saturday. Only one player all season has rushed for 100 yards against UB this season. The defense also has not given up a running play of over 24 yards all season. With defensive play like that, the option game of the Black Knights of Army could be in for a struggle in Buffalo.
Some Trends:
Black Knights are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. MAC.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Trends From Thu. Aug 31, 2006 To Sat. Oct 18, 2008
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="90%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left>Buffalo Bulls are 7-2-0 ATS After 1 ATS Loss (All Lines)</TD><TD align=left></TD><TR><TD align=left>Buffalo Bulls are 8-3-0 ATS After 1 Home (All Lines)
I am Taking Buffalo Bulls -11 (3 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Game 4
Game 4
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PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at NAVY (4 - 2)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 3:30 PM
"Navy has three outright upset wins as an underdog in progress and goes for number four against confounding Pittsburgh. Coach Ken Niumatalolo learned well under Paul Johnson, with the Middies 11-5 ATS as underdogs the last 3 years. They haven’t been as formidable at home with 11-15-1 ATS record since 2002. The college football world is trying to determine if Pitt’s loss to Bowling Green was fluke or its current 4-game winning streak is. The Panthers are 9-8 ATS on the road under coach Wannstedt and have not won three straight road games since 2003. Pittsburgh has not covered the last 3 games vs. Navy."
Trends:
Pittsburgh Panthers are 1-5-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5) since August 31'st of 2006.
From what I have seen this season, I believe Navy should win this game outright.
I am Taking Navy +3 (3 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
Game 4
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PITTSBURGH (4 - 1) at NAVY (4 - 2)
Week 8 Saturday, 10/18/2008 3:30 PM
"Navy has three outright upset wins as an underdog in progress and goes for number four against confounding Pittsburgh. Coach Ken Niumatalolo learned well under Paul Johnson, with the Middies 11-5 ATS as underdogs the last 3 years. They haven’t been as formidable at home with 11-15-1 ATS record since 2002. The college football world is trying to determine if Pitt’s loss to Bowling Green was fluke or its current 4-game winning streak is. The Panthers are 9-8 ATS on the road under coach Wannstedt and have not won three straight road games since 2003. Pittsburgh has not covered the last 3 games vs. Navy."
Trends:
Pittsburgh Panthers are 1-5-0 ATS All Games (3 -> 6.5) since August 31'st of 2006.
From what I have seen this season, I believe Navy should win this game outright.
I am Taking Navy +3 (3 Units) :toast:
GL, Dizz
