Randizzle's NCAAF Week 6 *(20-5-2 80% YTD)*

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BigYao

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Hey dizz...Have been monitoring your plays and trailed some of them...good capping...any inputs on the BYU game?....my book have it @ -29...thanks in advance...:toast:
 

Fergus

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wassup randizzle!seems like convincing info. what about this game do you not like?
 

indiana

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dizz......

thank you for all your efforts and time that you put into giving us your thoughts..

g/l this w/e

indy
 
Randizzle14

Randizzle14

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Info For ya

BigYao said:
Hey dizz...Have been monitoring your plays and trailed some of them...good capping...any inputs on the BYU game?....my book have it @ -29...thanks in advance...:toast:
Click to expand...

Play Against - Road favorites (BYU) - off 2 consecutive home wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%)

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).

Play On - A home team (UTAH ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after a win by 17 or more points.
(26-7 since 1992.) (78.8%) Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).

<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e141484 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e2e2e2" onclick="testHit('e141484', event)"><TD id=info style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=50>Info
</TD><TD id=score width=62>10/3
7:00P
</TD><TD id=team width=169>313 BYU
314 Utah State
</TD><TD id=bets width=56>29861
</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>76%
24%
</TD><TD id=mlpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>n/a
n/a
</TD><TD id=parlaypct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>83%
17%
</TD><TD id=oupct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>68%
32%
</TD><TD class=linebox style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #faf39e" width=75>-28-110
59.5 -110
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Again, The public is all over BYU to cover this. I think Utah St. keeps this within 29. But this one im definitly not touching.

GL :toast:

Big Bookie is on the Under...I'm not playing it, but he seems to be awesome. If you arent sure on the side, I would advise following him and playing the UNDER
 
Randizzle14

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Marshall

Fergus said:
wassup randizzle!seems like convincing info. what about this game do you not like?
Click to expand...

Marshall...lol...no matter what stats there are, its hard to put money on teams who have no credibility in my opinion.
:toast:
 
nikeairx

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u gunna place a wager on the game rand or just leave it as opinion??
 

gmoney72

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Look forward to your plays for tomorrow. I will bet them when I see them. Keep up the great work.
 
Randizzle14

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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->"any saturday plays yet diz?"

answer: Not yet, will post them soon. <!-- / message -->


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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->"Look forward to your plays for tomorrow. I will bet them when I see them. Keep up the great work."



Great to Hear Bud" Hope I can make you money this weekend. :toast:<!-- / message -->​


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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->"fair enough bud gl to ya!"


You too Bud!! :toast:​



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thesandman1

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R14 posted
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MARSHALL) - in non-conference games, with 17 or more total starters returning.
(67-29 since 1992.) (69.8%)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1).
Click to expand...

All that's out there now are +3 and some places went right thru 3 and are now +2.5. It takes a lot for a book to leave themselves open to a middle on 3. They are begging for Cinc money, so yeah I agree with you on Marshall but for a different reason.
 
Randizzle14

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thesandman1 said:
R14 posted

All that's out there now are +3 and some places went right thru 3 and are now +2.5. It takes a lot for a book to leave themselves open to a middle on 3. They are begging for Cinc money, so yeah I agree with you on Marshall but for a different reason.
Click to expand...

Well the way I see it, Any aggreance is a Good agreeance eh?? Good Luck to Us. :toast:
 
Randizzle14

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Marshall +3.5

loss...Shoulda listened to my initial thought and stayed away. Oh well...cant win em all...4-1-0 on the week...Hopefully we can have a great weekend. Sorry to those who followed tonight. :think2:
 
Randizzle14

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Opinion on utah St. (Winner)

Randizzle14 said:
Play Against - Road favorites (BYU) - off 2 consecutive home wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%)

Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).

Play On - A home team (UTAH ST) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 35 or more points/game, after a win by 17 or more points.
(26-7 since 1992.) (78.8%) Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).

<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e141484 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e2e2e2" onclick="testHit('e141484', event)"><TD id=info style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=50>Info

</TD><TD id=score width=62>10/3
7:00P

</TD><TD id=team width=169>313 BYU
314 Utah State

</TD><TD id=bets width=56>29861

</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>76%
24%

</TD><TD id=mlpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>n/a
n/a

</TD><TD id=parlaypct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>83%
17%

</TD><TD id=oupct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>68%
32%

</TD><TD class=linebox style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #faf39e" width=75>-28-110
59.5 -110

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Again, The public is all over BYU to cover this. I think Utah St. keeps this within 29. But this one im definitly not touching.

GL :toast:
Click to expand...
(WINNER)

Did not touch this game, but if you played it glad you did.

About to start finalizing tomorrow's plays.
 
Randizzle14

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Saturday Games

Ok Guys, here is what I have come up with. I fear that I may have analyzed too much, but hopefully not. Again as a reminder, I am still hitting at about an 81% clip....law of averages is not in my favor right now but hopfully we can defy the odds and continue at this pace.

That being said let's get down to business.

Game 1
--------
KENTUCKY (4 - 0) at ALABAMA (5 - 0)
Week 6 Saturday, 10/4/2008 3:30 PM

After destroying Georgia, the Crimson Tide are back home where they are 6-20-2 ATS hosting SEC foes. Alabama is 12-16-1 against the spread off a win and has a bye next week. Bama bettors hope coach Saban can improve on their 5-14-1 ATS record as double digit SEC favorites. The Tide has never lost to Kentucky at home in 20 previous meetings (19-0-1).

Some Situations:
Play Under - Any team against the total (ALABAMA) - after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game against opponent after scoring 37 points or more last game.
(64-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.9%)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).

Play Under - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving two excellent defensive teams (<=16 PPG), in conference games.
(38-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.2%)

KENTUCKY is 19-8 ATS after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

ALABAMA is 6-19 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

Line Movement: #Bets ATS ML Parlay O/U Open
<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e141556 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e2e2e2" onclick="testHit('e141556', event)"><TD id=info style="TEXT-ALIGN: center" width=50>Info

</TD><TD id=score width=62>10/4
2:30P

</TD><TD id=team width=169>361 Kentucky
362 Alabama

</TD><TD id=bets width=56>21334

</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>42%
58%

</TD><TD id=mlpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>18%
82%

</TD><TD id=parlaypct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>23%
77%

</TD><TD id=oupct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=50>65%
35%

</TD><TD class=linebox style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #faf39e" width=75>44.5 -110
-17-110

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Game is down to 15.5 or 15 at most places, Bodog has it right now at Bama -16.

Injury news: Found this by "Allen Smith"

As for injuries, WR Mike McCoy (hamstring) and TE Preston Dial (knee scope) both have been practicing in no-contact jerseys. Saban still lists them as “questionable” but it looks more and more doubtful that they will play Saturday. Mark Ingram received a bruised knee and left the Georgia game early. He appears to be at full strength and ready for the game.

Interesting Note: Kentucky's defense is allowing an avg. of 5 PPG this season.

Taking all of that into account:

I'm Taking Kentucky Wildcats +16 :toast:
 
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