hahaha....WHAT? God, I hope you are not a math teacher by profession! You can not mingle the indefinite "huge" and the absolute "100%" in this manner without sacrificing coherency. Either make the statement undefined or absolute (and thereby, defined). Considering you've done research on this, like you claim, you should have access to some numbers that you can use to replace "huge" and "good".
I'll give you a hint: Find the percentage of 6pt favs who have covered a 5 point tease. Express this percentage as a decimal value. We will call this value: x. Now x^3 is the likelihood that 3 consecutive 6pt faves (teased to -1) will have a favorable outcome (covering -1, or pushing in this case). Take this new value (the likelihood of winning any given 3 team 5 pt teaser [consisting of all 6pt faves]) and multiply it by 2.85 (the multiplier Queen has been given by her book [also described as +285 expressed in decimal form]). If the output of this function is greater than 1 (the amount of money risked [in relation to 2.85]), then you would say that "generally speaking" the reward is greater than the risk. If the output of this function is less than 1, then the risk outweighs the reward.
2.85 times x^3 > 1
x^3 > 1/2.85
x > the cubed root of (1/2.85)
x > .705
So, 6 pt faves teased 5 pts, would have to cover (or push) at a clip greater than 70.5%, in order to say that that the reward outweighs the risk.
One problem remains: Vegas specializes in mathematics. They know the numbers, and they know what to do with them. They don't agree to pay 2.85 times the amount wagered on a 3 team teaser without first knowing that the bettor's risk outweighs his reward. This is what we all face each and every time we place a bet. That is why we look for lesser known angles or newly developing trends, (or inside information or witchcraft / ouiga boards, or luck - whatever the hell that is) in order to turn the tables in our favor over the long run.
The bottom line, though, is: there is no rational argument you can reasonably call upon to tell another bettor that he or she is being unwise, without technically committing hypocrisy. Why, because all known, substantiated statistical angles (consisting of a large enough sample size), have already been accounted for and weighted appropriately to ensure that the books always win over time.
Best of luck to you, bmore, on Washington.... and best of luck to you, Queen, on Philly. This is not hypocritical, or two faced,... only meaningless... albeit with noble intentions!
-Tesla