What exactly is a quality response then?? You must agree with everything and offer no different point of view or another angle that you know that maybe others don't? Wtf is the point of starting these threads if it isn't to get feedback and different prospectives or angles to help beat the linesmakers. I seriously don't understand you guys. Maybe I came off brash fine sue me I'm from bmore city we don't sugar coat shit.
Bottom line is we all have something to gain by discussing reasonings and thoughts and angles that work instead of saying "great picks GL your the best rah rah" Maybe you guys come here for friends, i don't I have enough of them I come here to discuss and learn about this sick game of sports gambling! GL to you all with your attitudes you will need it
I LOVE IT!!! The QUEEN IS BACK and she is back with thick skin on top of it...QUEEN don't let'em rattle you. Play your game...Most of these haters couldn't pick their ass from their elbow they just like talking shit...
Yours in Winners
BernieV
***** another uninformed gambler cutting on teasers in the NFL...Ever wonder why sports books put rather low limits on two team teasers in the NFL and have upped the juice??? It surely isn't because the books are winning with these wagers
Ditto!
Teasers are a fine tool to use in NFL betting. Teasing 6 point favs down is the WORST possible teaser you can bet. The huge majority of the time they either win and cover or lose SU, that is a 100% fact. Do the research I have. Teasers are good for small dogs and 7.5-9 pt favs. She would be better off parlaying those 3 games she's leaving a ton of money on the table if she happens to hit. That's a all I was trying to say I guess that makes me a "hater" in your guys warped world of all hail the queen. Sensative bunch here when it comes to their queen!
No, its not a sensitive bunch. You are blowing caca right out your ass. You have no clue what you are talking about. Every word of every post that you have made in this thread is 100% non sense. I increased my odds by 36.8 % and decreased my payout by only 5% by choosing "ties win" which in reality makes my particular teaser a 7 point teaser at 6 point odds considering the particular line chosen for each leg. My wager is sharp as far as teasers go. You are all wong.
I don't have a problem with you or your post Bmore. I never have. I remember you from way back. You do come across as not so bright this week though. I thought much higher of you before. Go Philly.
Feedback and discussion are great but you were not anywhere near that. You came in bumping your gums with a bad attitude throwing negative vibes on my action. What do you want ? a warm welcome ? Your thoughts were foolish and elementary and hold no merit. The only person getting offended is you. Don't be weak. If you got something then bring it but don't bring garbage to the castle.
hahaha....WHAT? God, I hope you are not a math teacher by profession! You can not mingle the indefinite "huge" and the absolute "100%" in this manner without sacrificing coherency. Either make the statement undefined or absolute (and thereby, defined). Considering you've done research on this, like you claim, you should have access to some numbers that you can use to replace "huge" and "good".
I'll give you a hint: Find the percentage of 6pt favs who have covered a 5 point tease. Express this percentage as a decimal value. We will call this value: x. Now x^3 is the likelihood that 3 consecutive 6pt faves (teased to -1) will have a favorable outcome (covering -1, or pushing in this case). Take this new value (the likelihood of winning any given 3 team 5 pt teaser [consisting of all 6pt faves]) and multiply it by 2.85 (the multiplier Queen has been given by her book [also described as +285 expressed in decimal form]). If the output of this function is greater than 1 (the amount of money risked [in relation to 2.85]), then you would say that "generally speaking" the reward is greater than the risk. If the output of this function is less than 1, then the risk outweighs the reward.
2.85 times x^3 > 1
x^3 > 1/2.85
x > the cubed root of (1/2.85)
x > .705
So, 6 pt faves teased 5 pts, would have to cover (or push) at a clip greater than 70.5%, in order to say that that the reward outweighs the risk.
One problem remains: Vegas specializes in mathematics. They know the numbers, and they know what to do with them. They don't agree to pay 2.85 times the amount wagered on a 3 team teaser without first knowing that the bettor's risk outweighs his reward. This is what we all face each and every time we place a bet. That is why we look for lesser known angles or newly developing trends, (or inside information or witchcraft / ouiga boards, or luck - whatever the hell that is) in order to turn the tables in our favor over the long run.
The bottom line, though, is: there is no rational argument you can reasonably call upon to tell another bettor that he or she is being unwise, without technically committing hypocrisy. Why, because all known, substantiated statistical angles (consisting of a large enough sample size), have already been accounted for and weighted appropriately to ensure that the books always win over time.
Best of luck to you, bmore, on Washington.... and best of luck to you, Queen, on Philly. This is not hypocritical, or two faced,... only meaningless... albeit with noble intentions!
-Tesla
