Take Maryland - whatever # over Louisville. Louisville is a one woman team. Don't get me wrong, Angel McCoughtry is one of the top players in the country. However after her & a decent second in Bingham, Louisville does not come close to being able to match Maryland player for player talent wise & in depth.
Angel has put up good #s in this tournament but her shooting percentage has not been good. She will need to have an out of world game to beat Maryland & even that might not be good enough. They are not keeping the game in the 60's which is what it would take to beat Maryland.
If this # is low & I think it will be, I will hammer this big. This # should truly be -10 at minimum.