Purdue vs Illinois 10/30/2010

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Illinois is a heavy favorite winning 75% of simulations over Purdue. Nathan Scheelhaase is averaging 192 passing yards and 1.4 TDs per simulation and Mikel LeShoure is projected for 112 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25% of simulations where Purdue wins, Rob Henry averages 1.64 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.78 TDs to 1.33 interceptions. Rob Henry averages 61 rushing yards and 0.77 rushing TDs when Purdue wins and 47 yards and 0.39 TDs in losses. Illinois has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ILL -16

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