Man, that Toronto loss was brutal. 8-0 lead and they lose outright. Somehow I'm not real surprised though. I've questioned that team's heart all year long. Hopefully the late games treat you better.
GL
Damn! 8-0 after 4, 9-1 after 6, and lose 10-9 in 12 innings. Kept us from a 4-1 result on the five teams.
Individual games
Favs: 28-15 .651 +9.42
2-game chase - different variations
Straight: 30-5 +12.42
-1 RL: 23-5-7 +8.26
-1.5 RL: 25-10 +7.29
Summary:
Thought we had a nice bounce-back Saturday but Toronto took a big dump on those prospects. When you blow a 9-1 lead in the 7th on the second leg of a 2-game chase, it's a HUGE negative swing, otherwise this weekend wouldn't have been bad at all. What can you do?
This volume-based approach has been decent so far
(12.42 units in 14 days for the straight chase), and on pace for
+25 units of profit in a month even after a rough weekend, so it might even improve. The individual games have earned an R.O.I. of approximately 14% at a pace of 90 games per month. If that pace holds up, that's over 500 games a season.
On a side note, is sacrificing the overall strength of your selections worth more volume?
With all due respect to those of you who believe more action is the way to go, my point of view is that a higher,
proven R.O.I. on less action can be more valuable because even with less action you can make more money because you can wager more per game to equal the SAME risk on your bankroll. If two guys each have the same size bankroll and want to risk 5% a day, guy "A" risks 1% each on 5 plays a day and guy "B" risks 5% on 1 play a day, the risk is the same, yet guy "B", because he's selective and plays only the strongest plays he can find, should have a higher R.O.I. and therefore will do better. I understand about diversifying your play selection but if you have a PROVEN R.O.I. you can count on, diversification doesn't mean as much. There's many ways to tie your shoes, this just makes more sense to me. In a nutshell, assuming the same risk on our bankroll despite the number of plays, it all comes down to R.O.I. (return on investment). Would love to hear some intelligent discussion on this or alternative concepts.
Be well and we'll continue the plays on Monday.
hno:
