Proplayes Official Preseason Picks. Currently hitting .714%

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This will be my thread for my XNFL plays. Please refer to the thread "Oakland -1 over San Fran XNFL" for these plays below. Current record: 5-2 (.714%)

posted August 08, 2004 09:47 PM
Is it just me or does this seem a little crazy?? Oak has Norv Turner, offensive genius and three solid QB's in Gannon, Collins and Tuiasopo. San Fran's Rattay will not play this game so that leaves them with.....?? Pretty much no one. I know the game is next Saturday but could not resist Moneyline -114 @ Pinnacle as Greek had -125. This game should be a no brainer but you never know with preseason. I think Norv wants to see what he is working with. Let me know if anyone is on this game at all or is it to early?
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



ESQAJM


posted August 09, 2004 10:19 AM
The reason the line is only Oakland -1 is that Erricson likes to win his exhibition games. He has a good record in these preseason games. He won 3 of 4 last year with SF.
ESQAJM
Posts: 258 | Location: Syosset, NY, USA | Registered: August 01, 2001



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 09, 2004 12:54 PM
Hey Esqajm,

Thanks for the info. Last year he was working with Garcia as a starter and Rattay as a back up and TO as a threat in the 1st qrt. This year Garicia is gone and Rattay is injured. That leaves them with:

Doman, Brandon QB

Dorsey, Ken QB

I just cannot see Norv losing this one but anything can happen when you have your heart in it. I guess we will have to wait and see. I think Tuiasopo is better than both Dorsey and Doman and you have Gannon and Collins in front of this kid. Thank you again for the insight and info, gives me a different perspective to the game.
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



Oren1
Bettor



posted August 09, 2004 02:51 PM
Tui's play is a bit spotty, but a lot of times he's shown good ability in the preseason. Then, of course, if Collins plays 2 quarters, he's going to want to put together his A game, and by the sound of it they've got a lot of capable recievers on the roster for him to throw to. These are the Raiders however and I'm still pretty pessimistic about this season.
Posts: 3893 | Registered: December 20, 2002



Oren1
Bettor



posted August 09, 2004 04:32 PM
Also keep in mind the Raiders are going to be running the ball a lot... if their rookies on the OL can't get something going you might see some 3 and outs setting up the Niners in good field position. Who knows. But I'm starting to like the Raiders in the first half with Gannon and Collins, how can you go wrong with that?
Posts: 3893 | Registered: December 20, 2002



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 09, 2004 06:29 PM
Hey Oren,

You mention running the ball for Oak. When your Running Backs are:

T. Wheatley
J. Fargas
T. Hambrick
A. Zereoue
C. Downs
J. Redmond
K. Burnell
D. Green

Last time I checked, Wheatley, Amos and Hambrick were starters last year and they fall top 4 in the depth chart. The more we discuss this, the more it seems like a suckers bet. Well I already bet it and will ride it. Good luck to your Raiders Oren. I like Norv too so I will be cheering for them.
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



Oren1
Bettor



posted August 09, 2004 06:45 PM
it's not the running backs I'm worried about, it's the offensive line. They weren't that good last year, now they got 2 potential starting rookies(Gallery being possibly a huge upgrade), and a totally new offensive scheme for everyone to learn. I guess it's inevitable that they'll have a decent running game this year, it would be a major disapointment if they didn't, but, I'm not sure if the offensive unit will be clicking in game 1 of the preseason. I'm going to take Raiders 1st half.
Posts: 3893 | Registered: December 20, 2002



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 11, 2004 10:54 PM
For what it is worth I will post my XNFL picks in here as well. I took Washington -2 because of their depth at QB. Brunell and Ramsey looked terrible and thank god for Hasselback, a true warrior. I also bet Denver -4 2nd qrt and they got that holding penalty that brought back the TD and only got 3 after having a 1st and goal at the 7. Lucky for that Cartwright fumble taht allowed Denver to get another FG to give me the win. Loss the 4th qrt under 9.5 -125. Will not count these plays. My plays:

Oakland moneyline over SF
Minny 1st half moneyline -150) over ARI

With Boldin out that makes rookie Fitzgerald the 1st option. Minny at home with the depth at WR and especially QB, Dante and Ferotte cannot see them down at the half.
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 12, 2004 07:08 PM
Baltimore/ATL under 32.5
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 13, 2004 06:24 PM
NE/Phil under 32.5. These are top 4 Defenses in the game period. NE is lacking in depth at QB and thunder storms is 90% in the forecast. Going to be ugly in Foxboro tonight. Also teasing it with CFL Sask:

NE/PHIL under 32.5
6 point teaser NE/PHIL under 38.5 & Sask -0.5

Rx Preseason 1-0 (1.000%)
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 14, 2004 01:32 PM
Looks good so far. NE/Phil going under (2-0) and now I have a moneyline on Sask at +100 @ Canbet with my first leg of my teaser coming through with the under again. Looks like everyone is on Oakland and Minny with me so that is good that I have value. I could not believe I saw this still at Greek (Indy 1st qrt pick -115). The 1st half is -1.5 -115 so why would 1st qrt be a pick. Looks like someone messed up.

PLAYS:

Oakland Moneyline -114 (Look in thread)
Minny 1st half Moneyline -150 (Look in thread)
Indy 1st qrt Pick -115

RX Preseason 2-0 (1.000%)
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 14, 2004 07:53 PM
Adding Washington TEAM UNDER 17.5 -115 Greek. It is going to rain all night in D.C and Carolina's D is stout and DEEP!! Gibbs gameplan is run first then throw. Expect a low scoring game in this affair.

Rx Preseason 2-0 (1.000%)
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003



ProPlaye
Excuses are useless, stay on the winning side.... ProPlaye



posted August 15, 2004 02:15 AM
Closed off my teaser with a big Sask CFL win. Won Minny 1st half, Oakland moneyline and lost Washington team under and Indy 1st qrt. Dungy ran the ball 75% of the time Peyton was in for his one drive. 3-2 on these plays.

Official play: Denver tomorrow -2.5.

Rx Preseason 5-2 (.714%)
Posts: 240 | Registered: July 27, 2003
 

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Today I am taking Denver -2.5. Their back ups impressed me and seems like their gameplan is no different in preseason than regular season. Bills are not deep at all in their QB rotation and I know it was a Marv Levy thing not caring at all in preseason but it may carry over.

Rx Preseason 5-2 (.714%)
 

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Jake got picked twice in two drives. Is Buff starting secondary that good? or is Jake back to his ARI days without Portis to help out? Chalk that loss (5-3). Tonight taking GB buying the 0.5 point. Better QB rotation and much better RB depth:

GB -2.5 (Buying half point)

Rx Preseason 5-3 (.625%)
 

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PP:

Just curious, how much did that 1/2 point cost you to go from -3 to -2 1/2? The reason I ask is because I started a thread in the handicapping forum about buying points, whether it was worth it or not.

Last night, when Denver was at -3 -110 I checked Pinnacle to see how much a 1/2 point would cost me. They offered -2 1/2 for -147. Then I looked at -2 and that was going for -161. The difference between -3 and -2 1/2 was 37 points while the difference between -2 1/2 and -2 was only 14 points.
 

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In the Giant game last week I bought a half point with KC to go from +2.5 to +3. It cost me 1.30 and I felt they were robbing me. From what you say it wasn't such a bad price.
ESQAJM
 

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