Predictive Regression NBA Bets

[deed]

Saturday
11/16
7:00PM

PR Bet - Utah Jazz +7 @ Sacramento Kings

 

[deed]

PR Bets 1-0, +$100

 

[authorbytrade]

What sort of regression model are you using, if you don't mind me asking? I like this sort of approach but do mostly totals in the NBA so, for me, regression (as I think you might be using it) has proven a less valuable mechanism.

Nice first win, strong wager. Continued success.

 

[deed]

@authorbytrade -

Individual player:

• Random fluctuations v true ability.
• Statistical +/- regression.
• Predictive stats using a statistical stabilizer

 

[deed]

Sunday
11/17
3:00PM

PR Bet Memphis Grizzlies -5 v Denver Nuggets

 

[deed]

@authorbytrade - It's very valuable for me (62%+) the last several seasons, but it depends if you use it properly. Also, i don't use +/- regression for a team as a whole but rather individual players/matchups using a statistical stabilizer. Most think of regression in a negative manner but that's incorrect. It's also used in a positive form. Best of luck to you.

 

[deed]

PR Bets 2-0 +200

 

[authorbytrade]

deed, thanks for the great responses. You answered one of my questions which would have been about +/- team based regression. 62% is a great success rate, nice to know you have a solid base from which to work. Keep getting 'em!

 

[deed]

Tuesday
11/19
5:00PM

PR Bet Denver Nuggets +6 @ Memphis Grizzlies

 

[authorbytrade]

I like it, I have the total OVER likely with similar reasoning.

 

[deed]

I like it, I have the total OVER likely with similar reasoning.

Good luck tonight

 

[deed]

PR Bets 3-0 +$300

 

[deed]

Wednesday
11/20
5:00PM

PR Bet Portland Trailblazers +12 @ Oklahoma City Thunder

 

[deed]

PR Bets 4-0 +$400

 

[deed]

It's not quantity it's quality! I've been doing this a very long time. If you like action your in the wrong post. Best of luck everyone.

 

[Vingold]

"4 straight wins" is not quality ony. But it is ordinarity also =) You can find such series in allmost topics on this forum. But it's rare to find topics with a profit after at least 100 bets.
Goog luck =)

 

[jsund]

It's not quantity it's quality! I've been doing this a very long time. If you like action your in the wrong post. Best of luck everyone.

Continue on , goodjob

 

[deed]

@Vingold - Thank you my friend. Ok, gotcha. Check back after 100 bets. Good luck to you as well.

 

[deed]

Thursday
11/21
7:30PM

PR Bet Orlando Magic +5 @ Los Angeles Lakers

 

[vegaspimp]

Thursday
11/21
7:30PM

PR Bet Orlando Magic +5 @ Los Angeles Lakers

Who do you like on the NFL game?