Polymarket bettors give Harris her largest lead yet. 52-47

[Codebreaker]

Trump has never broken the 47% mark in either 2016 or 2020. Romney did get to 48.3% vs Obama, but was soundly defeated.

The narrative we are building is Trump will lose around 5% of the republican vote he got in 2020. Based partly on Haley's performance in the primaries which reflect Trump fatigue, Jan 6th and 34 felonies.

Trump cannot afford to lose any republicans from 2020 since he lost 51.3% to 46.9% to Biden. If he loses 5% of GOP votes it will be a 57.3%-41.9% outcome exactly what Reagan got in 1980. Carter only got 49 electoral college votes.

As I have been saying Trumps problem is not the Libs, it's the never Trumpers. Haley got 16.8% of the closed GOP primary vote in Pa. If Trump does not win back 100% of those Haley voters he will lose by more then he did in 2020.

I guess the Never Trump Memes don't monetize as well as owing the lib memes

 

[Codebreaker]

Before the debate, Polymarkets gave Kamala a 75% chance of winning the debate.

During the debate it went to 100%. People with $$ on the line have a different financial incentive than meme monetizers on the internets.

DJT Stock, another measure with a different incentive then meme Monetizers. DJT has fallen in value since the debate by 34.8% YOY DJT is down 83.4%.

 

[SheriffJoe]

"I've been told it will be a blowout, the narrative set by our media will make it impossible for Trump to deny the out come." - Lawbreaker

Fuck around and find out