Penn State vs Indiana 11/20/2010

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Penn State is a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat Indiana. Evan Royster is projected for 117 rushing yards and a 59% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Indiana wins, Ben Chappell averages 2.36 TD passes vs 0.86 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.33 TDs to 1.19 interceptions. Trea Burgess averages 47 rushing yards and 0.38 rushing TDs when Indiana wins and 42 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. Penn State has a 42% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +10.5

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