Penn State vs Florida 1/1/2011

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Florida is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat Penn State. Jeffery Demps is projected for 56 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where Penn State wins, Matthew McGloin averages 1.71 TD passes vs 1.07 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.87 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Evan Royster averages 95 rushing yards and 0.78 rushing TDs when Penn State wins and 83 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. Florida has a 36% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLA -7 --- Over/Under line is 47

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