Lets go!
San Francisco +213
I know that we are going against the best pitcher in baseball nowadays but I see the odds a little bit crazy here. Cueto is an amazing pitcher and I have no doubts about him posting a quality start in LA. His year has not been good as expected but Cueto is well known for having amazing second months of the season, being his best month with a 23-13 with a 2.80 ERA in 46 career May starts.
We will need the Giants offense posting better numbers but I give them at least a 40% of chances to take a win here. I think that Cueto will be able to put the Dodgers´batters in troubles so if the offense can put 2-3 runs on board it could be enough for this bet.
Long shot but I like it so, why not?
San Francisco +213
I know that we are going against the best pitcher in baseball nowadays but I see the odds a little bit crazy here. Cueto is an amazing pitcher and I have no doubts about him posting a quality start in LA. His year has not been good as expected but Cueto is well known for having amazing second months of the season, being his best month with a 23-13 with a 2.80 ERA in 46 career May starts.
We will need the Giants offense posting better numbers but I give them at least a 40% of chances to take a win here. I think that Cueto will be able to put the Dodgers´batters in troubles so if the offense can put 2-3 runs on board it could be enough for this bet.
Long shot but I like it so, why not?
Texas +201
Over 8.5 +100
This is the other side I think is underated. Texas is not hitting well and the pitching is not working very well, but are the Astros that good to have such odds when his pitcher has an ERA of 4.34? Of course that McCullers should improve his numbers but so far, his performance this year has been a disapointment.
Texas with Cashner on the mound, not an ace but I am expecting an entertaining match here with a lot of runs. To take the underdog in matches where runs are expected is always a good idea and that is what I am doing here, take Texas and the over 8.5 ... it sounds great in my mind but we will see how it goes.
Over 8.5 +100
This is the other side I think is underated. Texas is not hitting well and the pitching is not working very well, but are the Astros that good to have such odds when his pitcher has an ERA of 4.34? Of course that McCullers should improve his numbers but so far, his performance this year has been a disapointment.
Texas with Cashner on the mound, not an ace but I am expecting an entertaining match here with a lot of runs. To take the underdog in matches where runs are expected is always a good idea and that is what I am doing here, take Texas and the over 8.5 ... it sounds great in my mind but we will see how it goes.
Over 8 Tampa Bay vs Miami +100
Odorizzi will return from the disabled list while Chen is struggled so far this season. I like the over.
Tampa Bay batters have good numbers against Chen in plenty of averages and after what we saw in his previous match, I dont expect him throwing a master piece. On the other side, Odorizzi will be back after having troubles with his hamstring and we have to see how he is after that.
Low line, both pitchers that didnt show his best baseball so far this season and with teams that are not bad at hitting (not the best, but not bad at all). I like the over.
Odorizzi will return from the disabled list while Chen is struggled so far this season. I like the over.
Tampa Bay batters have good numbers against Chen in plenty of averages and after what we saw in his previous match, I dont expect him throwing a master piece. On the other side, Odorizzi will be back after having troubles with his hamstring and we have to see how he is after that.
Low line, both pitchers that didnt show his best baseball so far this season and with teams that are not bad at hitting (not the best, but not bad at all). I like the over.
Under 8.5 - Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati +102
It probably sounds crazy to take an under in this ballpark, but what can I say? I really like it.
Cole is for me the best pitcher in the Pirates organization and Cincinnati was not a dangerous offense in recent years. So far the Reds are hitting pretty good but Cole is a reliable pitcher and I think he will post a good outing today. On the other side, Garrett back on the mound after a rough appareance in his previous match, his first time posting a bad outing.
Pittsburgh had troubles the past season against lefties and I dont expect that changing that much. Garrett showed that is not an easy pitcher to face while we all know Cole. I expect a tight match and 9 runs are too many in my opinion. We will see because this ballpark is always dangerous.
It probably sounds crazy to take an under in this ballpark, but what can I say? I really like it.
Cole is for me the best pitcher in the Pirates organization and Cincinnati was not a dangerous offense in recent years. So far the Reds are hitting pretty good but Cole is a reliable pitcher and I think he will post a good outing today. On the other side, Garrett back on the mound after a rough appareance in his previous match, his first time posting a bad outing.
Pittsburgh had troubles the past season against lefties and I dont expect that changing that much. Garrett showed that is not an easy pitcher to face while we all know Cole. I expect a tight match and 9 runs are too many in my opinion. We will see because this ballpark is always dangerous.
Last one
Over 8 Baltimore vs Boston -104
Porcello struggling so far this year and I never liked him too much so perfect spot to take the over. He has awful numbers against Baltimore, going 4-8 with 4.88 ERA in 15 starts against the Orioles. Bundy is in the same position here, having a 2-3 with 4.76 ERA in 9 carrer outings (5 starts). In Fenway, 1-1 with 4.02 ERA.
Both teams are full of great hitters and the line is too low into my eyes in a league where the DH is always a help for the overs. This match will be interesting after all that happened in their previous meetings this year (Machado-Pedroia and all that).
Over 8 Baltimore vs Boston -104
Porcello struggling so far this year and I never liked him too much so perfect spot to take the over. He has awful numbers against Baltimore, going 4-8 with 4.88 ERA in 15 starts against the Orioles. Bundy is in the same position here, having a 2-3 with 4.76 ERA in 9 carrer outings (5 starts). In Fenway, 1-1 with 4.02 ERA.
Both teams are full of great hitters and the line is too low into my eyes in a league where the DH is always a help for the overs. This match will be interesting after all that happened in their previous meetings this year (Machado-Pedroia and all that).
Nationals -119
Nationals -1.5 +262
I think I am not overperforming here after the huge performance the Nationals did against the Mets, but I really think that the Nats are the bet here and I expect them taking this one easily.
Roark was probably the biggest surprise in the Nationals the past year along with Daniel Murphy that I was not expecting playing that well. Roark showed that he can be considered a reliable pitcher and he is playing at the same level this year. So far, 3-0 record with a 3.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, and he already played in Coors Field.
The Nats offense steped forward as we could see in the game against the Mets and watching a team with Murphy, Harper, Zimmerman, Eaton, Rendon, Wieters, Turner ... in the roster and with all of them hitting that well, I think we can trust in their scoring potential.
Arizona will have Tajuan Walker on the mound, 3-1 this year with a 3.94 ERA after facing the Dodgers twice, San Diego and San Francisco twice. His last two season were very week, finishing with his ERA above four.
The big problem with the Diamondbacks is their bullpen. It is crazy how this team managed to lose matches that were almost closed thanks to their atrocious bullpen. The past season their global ERA was 4.94, being one of the worst in the league (4th worst exactly) and this year the things are not going better.
I really like Roark and the Nationals are on fire so I expect them winning this one. I want to risk today taking the handicap and the ML with the same units. We will see how it goes and as I said, I expect not being overreacting after their last win but seriously, I really like this one.
Nationals -1.5 +262
I think I am not overperforming here after the huge performance the Nationals did against the Mets, but I really think that the Nats are the bet here and I expect them taking this one easily.
Roark was probably the biggest surprise in the Nationals the past year along with Daniel Murphy that I was not expecting playing that well. Roark showed that he can be considered a reliable pitcher and he is playing at the same level this year. So far, 3-0 record with a 3.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, and he already played in Coors Field.
The Nats offense steped forward as we could see in the game against the Mets and watching a team with Murphy, Harper, Zimmerman, Eaton, Rendon, Wieters, Turner ... in the roster and with all of them hitting that well, I think we can trust in their scoring potential.
Arizona will have Tajuan Walker on the mound, 3-1 this year with a 3.94 ERA after facing the Dodgers twice, San Diego and San Francisco twice. His last two season were very week, finishing with his ERA above four.
The big problem with the Diamondbacks is their bullpen. It is crazy how this team managed to lose matches that were almost closed thanks to their atrocious bullpen. The past season their global ERA was 4.94, being one of the worst in the league (4th worst exactly) and this year the things are not going better.
I really like Roark and the Nationals are on fire so I expect them winning this one. I want to risk today taking the handicap and the ML with the same units. We will see how it goes and as I said, I expect not being overreacting after their last win but seriously, I really like this one.
Under 8.5 - Boston vs Baltimore +100
What am I missing here? Yesterday the line was 8 with pitcher that are not playing that well and today we have Sale, by far the best pitcher in the Red Sox, and Asher, that is posting a 2.16 ERA with great performances so far.
Both bullpens are working fine so far, Boston is not having a huge season offensively while Baltimore will have to face Sale that is probably one of the top 3 pitchers in the game ... the under sounds easy and we have a 8.5 line with odds above 2 ... no brainer here.
What am I missing here? Yesterday the line was 8 with pitcher that are not playing that well and today we have Sale, by far the best pitcher in the Red Sox, and Asher, that is posting a 2.16 ERA with great performances so far.
Both bullpens are working fine so far, Boston is not having a huge season offensively while Baltimore will have to face Sale that is probably one of the top 3 pitchers in the game ... the under sounds easy and we have a 8.5 line with odds above 2 ... no brainer here.
Oakland +118
Ervin Santana having an amazing season so far. 4-0, 0.77 ERA and WHIP ... probably the best pitcher in the league so far with those numbers but we all know that he is not an option for the CY Young this year and his numbers wont be that good the rest of the season. I dont know if this is the game where he blows up but we cant treat him as an ace, or at least that is what I think.
On the other side will be Sonny Gray that is one of my favourite pitchers. I really like this kid. We are talking about one of the players with a bright future and this will be his first match this season after missing the first month of the season with a lat strain.
I think that the best choice here is to take the underdog. I really like Gray and I have no doubts about him posting a good outing here. Both offense are weak at some point and it should be tight. I am taking Gray with such odds.
Ervin Santana having an amazing season so far. 4-0, 0.77 ERA and WHIP ... probably the best pitcher in the league so far with those numbers but we all know that he is not an option for the CY Young this year and his numbers wont be that good the rest of the season. I dont know if this is the game where he blows up but we cant treat him as an ace, or at least that is what I think.
On the other side will be Sonny Gray that is one of my favourite pitchers. I really like this kid. We are talking about one of the players with a bright future and this will be his first match this season after missing the first month of the season with a lat strain.
I think that the best choice here is to take the underdog. I really like Gray and I have no doubts about him posting a good outing here. Both offense are weak at some point and it should be tight. I am taking Gray with such odds.
Rockies -103
Colorado against the Padres is almost a no brainer, but if I tell you that Chatwood was with Tyler Anderson the most reliable pitcher in the Rockies the past season, it sounds even better.
I think that anyone here have doubts about who is better scoring runs. San Diego has been struggling there during the last decade while the Rockies is a team that can hit everything and anywhere, not just in Coors Field. Arenado, Story, Cargon, Reynolds, Blackmon ... there are no doubts about the potential that this team has in their offense.
I think that Colorado should be a bigger favourite here. It is simple, Colorado can score runs easily and Chatwood is one of their best pitchers. San Diego cant hit anything and Cahill is not an ace so ... I am taking the Rockies here.
Colorado against the Padres is almost a no brainer, but if I tell you that Chatwood was with Tyler Anderson the most reliable pitcher in the Rockies the past season, it sounds even better.
I think that anyone here have doubts about who is better scoring runs. San Diego has been struggling there during the last decade while the Rockies is a team that can hit everything and anywhere, not just in Coors Field. Arenado, Story, Cargon, Reynolds, Blackmon ... there are no doubts about the potential that this team has in their offense.
I think that Colorado should be a bigger favourite here. It is simple, Colorado can score runs easily and Chatwood is one of their best pitchers. San Diego cant hit anything and Cahill is not an ace so ... I am taking the Rockies here.
Bad day yesterday. I will post the numbers with the record in few minutes but first, todays plays ...
Yankees +112
Kinda crazy to see such odds when the Blue Jays are not hitting anything so far. Since Donaldson left, Toronto has been a disaster offensively and I dont think that Sabathia is a pitcher to go against this year. We saw Sabathia posting great performances in the first 3 matches of the year while the last 2 were not good at all. Anyway, we saw an improvement from recent years or at least that is what I think.
Stroman is a good pitcher but somehow he is very overated. His season so far has been good, but it is matter of time to see a team punishing him on the mound, and we all know the Yankees offense.
I dont want to waste your time here. It is simple. I cannot see the Blue Jays as favourites with the weak offense they are showing. Bautista is not the past years hitter while Donaldson is not with the team and Encarnacion left the Blue Jays this offseason. The matchup Stroman-Sabathia is even so... I like the Yankees as underdog.
Yankees +112
Kinda crazy to see such odds when the Blue Jays are not hitting anything so far. Since Donaldson left, Toronto has been a disaster offensively and I dont think that Sabathia is a pitcher to go against this year. We saw Sabathia posting great performances in the first 3 matches of the year while the last 2 were not good at all. Anyway, we saw an improvement from recent years or at least that is what I think.
Stroman is a good pitcher but somehow he is very overated. His season so far has been good, but it is matter of time to see a team punishing him on the mound, and we all know the Yankees offense.
I dont want to waste your time here. It is simple. I cannot see the Blue Jays as favourites with the weak offense they are showing. Bautista is not the past years hitter while Donaldson is not with the team and Encarnacion left the Blue Jays this offseason. The matchup Stroman-Sabathia is even so... I like the Yankees as underdog.
