OU -17 vs. TCU... Anyone Else Think This Is Another OU Non-Conference Blowout

[ATX]

Didn't the line open at 18.5?

yeah, I didn't see it but that's what a couple of people told me.

and the move down to -17.5 was probably a head fake. They do that to insinuate steam to keep people from blindly betting moves and make money from sharp action. I'm not 100% on that but if the move really was based on legit action I would think it's more to get it below -18 so they can hit OU even harder the other way. OU has scary athleticism, they are huge and fast, could be one of the better NCAA football teams ever, big could be. I'm not saying bet OU, but just relaying information.

 

[nd2000]

I think this is a pass or a bet on TCU. I just don't see how Oklahoma can be underrated still. The spread in the Cincy/OU game was -21. This is close to the same spread, but TCU is a much more powerful team than Cincy. Cincy was a speedy team that could not handle the size of OU. TCU has more beasts at the line of scrimmage than Cincy or Washington did by a longshot.

 

[5-0SAT]

I think this is a pass or a bet on TCU. I just don't see how Oklahoma can be underrated still. The spread in the Cincy/OU game was -21. This is close to the same spread, but TCU is a much more powerful team than Cincy. Cincy was a speedy team that could not handle the size of OU. TCU has more beasts at the line of scrimmage than Cincy or Washington did by a longshot.

I don't buy it for a second. OU will demolish this Horned Frog team. Bank on OU to get 50+ points. TCU might not even score until a nobody cares 4th quarter favor. I just don't see it, you people need to stop hyping this TCU team. It won't be a close game.

 

[nd2000]

I don't buy it for a second. OU will demolish this Horned Frog team. Bank on OU to get 50+ points. TCU might not even score until a nobody cares 4th quarter favor. I just don't see it, you people need to stop hyping this TCU team. It won't be a close game.

Below is a link to the oddsmaker's most recent power poll for college football. The gap between TCU and OU is about 7 points on a neutral field. No offense, but i trust their judgement a lot more than your's. So unless OU's homefield is worth 10 points all of the sudden, you are getting ripped off on the price of this game. They have jacked up the spread in anticipation of all the donkeys betting OU. OU may well cover, but you won't last long in sports betting laying inflated numbers all the time.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/story.cfm/story/757219

 

[5-0SAT]

Below is a link to the oddsmaker's most recent power poll for college football. The gap between TCU and OU is about 7 points on a neutral field. No offense, but i trust their judgement a lot more than your's. So unless OU's homefield is worth 10 points all of the sudden, you are getting ripped off on the price of this game. They have jacked up the spread in anticipation of all the donkeys betting OU. OU may well cover, but you won't last long in sports betting laying inflated numbers all the time.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/story.cfm/story/757219

It always frustrates me when people like you are so strong on a team like TCU, and you write your 2 paragraph explanation, and you always seem to save your own ace by saying things like, "OU may well cover, but". Cmon, stop it. Either your for TCU or your not. Stop flip flopping, have some conviction.

 

[GoSooners]

Below is a link to the oddsmaker's most recent power poll for college football. The gap between TCU and OU is about 7 points on a neutral field. No offense, but i trust their judgement a lot more than your's. So unless OU's homefield is worth 10 points all of the sudden, you are getting ripped off on the price of this game. They have jacked up the spread in anticipation of all the donkeys betting OU. OU may well cover, but you won't last long in sports betting laying inflated numbers all the time.

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/story.cfm/story/757219

Please tell me your not taking these power polls seriously. According to your reasoning, and the polls, USC is still only 8 points better than Ohio State..Now I think we know better than that don't we?

 

[5-0SAT]

Please tell me your not taking these power polls seriously. According to your reasoning, and the polls, USC is still only 8 points better than Ohio State..Now I think we know better than that don't we?

ope:ope:

 

[bigtendominator]

Cincy's offense is much better than TCU's. Also, TCU played NMU, Stanford, and SMU. Not exactly a murder's row. While Oklahoma has not played a difficult schedule, they are humming offensively.

I don't believe TCU will be able to contain OU. When OU lost to TCU, it was because OU lacked a legit passing game. The OU Oline will wear TCU down and I look for Murray to hit at least 1 40+ yard run.

 

[nd2000]

Please tell me your not taking these power polls seriously. According to your reasoning, and the polls, USC is still only 8 points better than Ohio State..Now I think we know better than that don't we?

Oh my bad. USC should be 32 points ahead of Ohio State in the power poll since they won 35-3. Get real. And if USC played at Ohio State, the line should be SC -28. Correct????

 

[5-0SAT]

Oh my bad. USC should be 32 points ahead of Ohio State in the power poll since they won 35-3. Get real. And if USC played at Ohio State, the line should be SC -28. Correct????

Did you go to school in Columbus, Ohio??? If your relying on these obscure computer/vegas polls you really shouldn't be betting. :nohead:

 

[June_Jones]

TCU does have some athletes on defense, but the fact that they've played garbage opponents cannot be overlooked. i'm also surprised no one has mentioned that their starting qb has yet to register a td pass???? oklahoma will stop the run and bobby stoops wont stop scoring to avenge their loss from a couple years ago. i am shocked that there are so many proponents for a tcu cover here. final score - TCU 10 OU 45

 

[prodigy]

theres no doubt that oklahoma is very good.

... but if youre looking for a fundamentally solid underdog, its hard not to acknowledge what tcu brings to the table.

ability to run the football? check.
ability to stop the run? check.
well coached? check.
history of performing well against power conference teams? check.
solid special teams? check.

maybe the sooners end up running away with this one. its possible. but to think okie is just going to line up and maul tcu is just silly.

 

[5-0SAT]

i'm also surprised no one has mentioned that their starting qb has yet to register a td pass????

That is a shocking statistic. Great find June Jones.

 

[pizzap]

i gotta admit, TCU as a dog is a pretty good bet.

 

[jordan17]

Stop it! U silly rabbits!
I'm hopping on OU :toast:

 

[ThePoet]

TCU has done what they were supposed to do, as has OU. They beat the teams soundly they were supposed to and covered the spread on all of them. This will be a better game than some of you OU backers may think. Go ahead an put your money on OU. When it loses, take the Rams +8 on Sunday and recoup some of your money.

 

[Arbuckle36]

OU/tcu

As a Sooners fan, I'm a little apprehensive going into this game. The loss of Granger at DT couldn't have come at a worse time. Even though McCoy is our bust run plugging D-lineman, Grangers play has been more than solid up to this point. TCU will run right at OU's LBers. #22 Clayton is undersized and has been known to miss tackles in open space (when he was the starting safety 2 yrs ago). His play at SAM has been better but he still might be a little undersized. #28 Travis Lewis leads the team in tackles but it wouldn't suprise me if TCU ran right at him aswsell. TCU's QB is yet to throw a TD. But I think he catches OUr secondary offguard for his 1st this season. I think TCU could put up atleast 2 TDs and 2FG's.

I think OU's offense will come out with 5 wide to start the game. It will be easier for Bradford to see if they blitz and he would know where to find an open target. Chris Brown could also be effective catching out of the backfield. He's a patient runner that is somewhat comparable to Mike Hart. My guess is 1st half OU continues to pass until TCU proves they can stop it or get to Bradford.
If I play this game I'd play the Sooners but it would be a small play.

OU 41 tcu 20

 

[ATX]

the public will be all over OU. probably over 70%. not saying I'm betting TCU b/c of that. Sometimes teams are so good that they cover nearly all of their games even though the public pushes the spreads (Texas with VY). TCU will be in some trouble if they get behind, they are not a catch-up type of team. TCU is stout vs the run, but they haven't played anyone of note. I think OU covers the spread if they win the turnover battle and if Bradford has another +300 yd game. TCU has lost one game on the road by this number since '04 (Texas when they were 7.5 and the majority thought UT would lose, in that game UT held the Frogs to 43 yards rushing, won the turnover battle, scored on defense, and rushed for 175), and in '04 they lost to LOUIS (+24) and Texas Tech (+5.5)in blowouts, both teams threw for over 350. I think this comes down to OU's run D, and TCU's pass D, keep in mind Stoops will have no problem scoring late and running it up, OU hates all things Texas and there is a need to keep up with the Florida's and USC's of the world. I think there are at least 10 better games out there to bet on.

 

[gmoney72]

the public will be all over OU. probably over 70%. not saying I'm betting TCU b/c of that. Sometimes teams are so good that they cover nearly all of their games even though the public pushes the spreads (Texas with VY). TCU will be in some trouble if they get behind, they are not a catch-up type of team. TCU is stout vs the run, but they haven't played anyone of note. I think OU covers the spread if they win the turnover battle and if Bradford has another +300 yd game. TCU has lost one game on the road by this number since '04 (Texas when they were 7.5 and the majority thought UT would lose, in that game UT held the Frogs to 43 yards rushing, won the turnover battle, scored on defense, and rushed for 175), and in '04 they lost to LOUIS (+24) and Texas Tech (+5.5)in blowouts, both teams threw for over 350. I think this comes down to OU's run D, and TCU's pass D, keep in mind Stoops will have no problem scoring late and running it up, OU hates all things Texas and there is a need to keep up with the Florida's and USC's of the world. I think there are at least 10 better games out there to bet on.

Could you please tell me the 10 games that are better to bet on than this one.

 

[prodigy]

Could you please tell me the 10 games that are better to bet on than this one.

he probably gave you a low estimate. there are likely 20 better games. why lay close to 3 scores against a team who fits the criteria for a fundamentally solid underdog?