Oregon vs USC 11/3/2012

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Oregon is a solid favorite with a 69% chance to beat USC. Kenjon Barner is projected for 99 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 31% of simulations where USC wins, Matt Barkley averages 2.79 TD passes vs 0.81 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.51 TDs to 1.07 interceptions. Silas Redd averages 78 rushing yards and 0.72 rushing TDs when USC wins and 70 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is USC +6
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