Oregon vs California 11/10/2012

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 93% of simulations over California. Marcus Mariota is averaging 213 passing yards and 2.42 TDs per simulation and Kenjon Barner is projected for 127 rushing yards and a 90% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 7% of simulations where California wins, Zach Maynard averages 1.56 TD passes vs 0.69 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.75 TDs to 0.99 interceptions. Isi Sofele averages 63 rushing yards and 0.5 rushing TDs when California wins and 53 yards and 0.22 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 46% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CAL +27.5
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