OnePlayAtATime MMA Picks Thread

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Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Jun 4, 2009
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Sat 8/8 1601 Alessio Sakara +205
7:15PM (EST) 1602 Thales Leites -265


My pick is Thales Leites

Risking 5.3 Units to win 2 Units.
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Sat 8/8 901 Kenny Florian +200 Over 3½ -115
11:40PM (EST) 902 B.J. Penn -240 Under 3½ -115


My pick is Under 3 1/2 RDS.

Risking 3.45 Units to win 3 Units.
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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ONEPLAYATATIME UFC 101 BETTING CARD​

Sat 8/8 901 Kenny Florian +200 Over 3½ -115
11:40PM (EST) 902 B.J. Penn -240 Under 3½ -115

My pick is Under 3 1/2 RDS.

Risking 3.45 Units to win 3 Units.

Sat 8/8 1601 Alessio Sakara +205
7:15PM (EST) 1602 Thales Leites -265

My pick is Thales Leites

Risking 5.3 Units to win 2 Units.

Sat 8/8 1301 Kendall Grove +140
10:00PM (EST) 1302 Ricardo Almeida -160

My pick is Ricardo Almeida

Risking 4.8 units to win 3 units.

Wager type : Parlay

Select #1 : UFC Fighting (UFC 101 - Lightweight 5 rounds - Wachovia Center - Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - PPV) Penn wins inside distance 8/8/2009 11:30 PM - (EST) Money Line -113 for Game

Select #2 : UFC Fighting (UFC 101 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Wachovia Center - Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - PPV) Griffin wins by 3 round decision 8/8/2009 11:00 PM - (EST) Money Line +654 for Game


Risking 1 unit to win 13.21 units.

Sat 8/8 901 Kenny Florian +195
11:30PM (EST) 902 B.J. Penn -235

My pick is BJ Penn to WIN

Risking 11 units to win 5 units.

Huge mismatch here. Penn is much better on the ground and will rip Florian apart standing with his jab.

Sat 8/8 909 Penn wins inside distance -113
11:30PM (EST) 910 Not Penn inside distance -127

My Pick is Penn Inside The Distance

Risking 2.26 Units to win 2 Units

UFC 101 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Wachovia Center - Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - PPV
Sat 8/8 1401 Kurt Pellegrino +185
10:00PM (EST) 1402 Josh Neer -225

My Pick is Kurt Pellegrino to win

Risking 2.5 units to win 4.6 units

Pellegrino by rear naked choke.

Sat 8/8 1101 Forrest Griffin +300
11:00PM (EST) 1102 Anderson Silva -360

My pick is Forrest Griffin to win

Risking 5 Units to win 15 Units

Sat 8/8 1107 Griffin wins by 3 round decision +654
11:00PM (EST) 1108 Not Griffin by 3 round decision -1360

My pick is Forrest Griffin by Dec

Risking 1 Unit to win 6.54 Units

2009 Picks: 10-1
Cumulative Units: +28.94
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Sat 8/15 2101 Cristiane Santos -195
11:35PM (EST) 2102 Gina Carano +168


My pick is Gina Carano +170

Risking 3 units to win 5.1 units

Number has gone much to high. Gina will weather the storm and pull this one out.
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Sat 8/15 2121 Mitsuhiro Ishida +185
10:45PM (EST) 2122 Gilbert Melendez -200


My pick is Gilbert Melendez to win.

Risking 6 units to win 3 units.

Ishida takes this fight on short notice. Not a good idea.
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Sat 8/15 2181 Jesse Taylor +145
10:30PM (EST) 2182 Jay Hieron -175


My pick is Jay Hieron to win.

I am risking 3.5 units to win 2 units.
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Wed 3/31 1103 Gomi/Florian goes 3 round distance +220

Sat 3/27 1205 Carwin wins inside distance +143

Sat 3/27 1109 St-Pierre wins inside distance -260

Sun 3/21 1203 Gonzaga/Santos goes 3 round distance +450

Sat 2/20 1509 Filipovic wins inside distance +110

Sat 2/20 1407 Jardine wins by 3 round decision +368

Sat 2/20 1301 George Sotiropoulos +220

Sat 2/20 1207 Bisping wins by 3 round decision +347

Sat 2/20 1109 Nogueira wins inside distance +262
 

Luck is what happens when preparation meets opport
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Added

Wanderlei Silva in Round 1 +350

and

Rothwell by decision +647
 

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Sick. I wish I saw this earlier. Looking at props is helpful. I'm with you on Silva first round and others. Thanks
 

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Wed 3/31 1103 Gomi/Florian goes 3 round distance +220

Sat 3/27 1205 Carwin wins inside distance +143

Sat 3/27 1109 St-Pierre wins inside distance -260

Sun 3/21 1203 Gonzaga/Santos goes 3 round distance +450

Sat 2/20 1509 Filipovic wins inside distance +110

Sat 2/20 1407 Jardine wins by 3 round decision +368

Sat 2/20 1301 George Sotiropoulos +220

Sat 2/20 1207 Bisping wins by 3 round decision +347

Sat 2/20 1109 Nogueira wins inside distance +262

Like most of them

Don't like Cro Cop inside distance, at +110 I just don't think there is much value, could go to a dec. or Cro Cop could lose. Figured that would be a better line.

Don't like JDS-Gonzo going the distance. I won't expect a JDS fight to get to the judges anytime soon. That guy is a beast. KO in the 1st or 2nd.

Solid value on Bisping and Jardine winning by dec. as that is the only way I see either winning. But I have both losing.

Really like the GSP and Florian/Gomi plays.

Good Luck

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Good to see you post your picks again OPAAT! You know your stuff with mostly solid underdog plays. If I remember right, you assigned different units to your plays in the past...are all of these current plays for 1 unit each, or are you playing them for different amounts?

Thanks, and good luck this weekend with your plays.
 

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