LSU, give me a break man by everyone I meant the conference as a whole. I'm probably not playing that game but if I was I'd be on Purdue. I agree with most of what you're saying, they're a good team and this is a trap game for Georgia. Going back to the Big 11, 2 good teams out of 11 (Michigan is the other) means it's a shitty conference this year. I even think Minny was weak, and if it wasn't for a brain fart by Bellotti those guys would have gone down today also.
As promised, back with my analysis and selections for the remaining two games for today.
Rose Bowl: Michigan vs USC
This game matches the two powerhouses for each conference and once again matches the Big 10 and the Pac 10. Michigan brings a very solid team to the game with strength both offensively and defensively. The Wolverines feature QB John Navarre who averages 59% completions with a 23-9 TD to interception ratio and 255 yards per game and only 15 sacks. They also feature RB Chris Perry who had 1589 yards on 5.0 yards per carry and 42 receptions for 8.7 yards per catch and 19 touchdowns. The receiving corp included WR Braylon Edwards with 75 receptions and 13.7 yards per catch and 14 touchdowns. The defense after giving up 424 yards rushing to Minnesota allowed only 71 yards per game and a 2.7 yards per carry average. The secondary allowed 52.4% completions with a 5-14 TD to interception ratio and 167 yards per game. Michigan's weakness is in special teams as opponents blocked 4 kicks and the kick coverages allowed 20.3 yards per kick-off return and 13.2 yards per punt return with 3 TD's. The punting average was a net 31.3 yards and the placekicker was 9-11 with a decent leg. The positive was in returns with a punt return average of 14.1 yards and 2 TD's. The kick-off returns averaged 20.7 yards per return.
USC brings an explosive team to the game with strength and speed both offensively and defensively. The Trojans feature QB Matt Leinart who averages 63% completions with a 35-9 TD to interception ratio and 3,229 yards and an efficiency rating of 163.2 with only 14 sacks. The running game features a 3 back rotation consisting of LenDale White who had 728 yards and 5.5 yards per carry, Hershel Davis had 644 yards and 5.0 yards per carry, and Reggie Bush had 480 yards and 5.9 yards per carry. The receiving corp featured WR Mike Williams with 87 receptions and a 14.1 yards per catch average and 16 touchdowns and Keary Colbert with 63 receptions and a 13.7 yards per catch average. The defense allowed only 1.9 yards per carry and registered 46 sacks on the year. The secondary yielded 277 yards per game with a 55% completions and a 17-21 TD to interception ratio. The Trojans led the nation in turnover ratio with +20. The special teams were excellent with a net punting average of 43.5 yards and the place kicking was a successful 19-23. Punt returns averaged 9.0 yards and kick-off returns 27.9 yards. The return units allowed 21.1 per kick-off return and 8.1 yards per punt return.
Motivation for this game is extremely high for the Trojans as coach Carroll has his team firmly in a state of mind of us against the world following the BCS debacle and the team is playing all out for a split in the national title. Michigan comes in playing the road of the spoiler. The game is being played in the beautiful Pasedena environment where the Rose Bowl has always been revered by Southern California teams. Expect huge support for the Trojans in this game. The coaching in this game cannot be understated. The combination of Norm Chow's offensive schemes and Pete Carroll defensive plan have turned this program into a monster. The overall team speed of the Trojans both offensively and defensively is impressive and they can strike an opponent from all angles and create terror in the eyes of an opponent. This program is operating at an incredibly high level with full focus, and with full respect to a very good Michigan team, the Wolverines have seen nothing that is comparable or prepares them for the Trojans. Expect USC to dominate this game in all aspects, not letting up either offensively or defensively. The fundamentals of this game are very solid. This is my strongest game of the bowl season but use caution and disciplined money management. This game warrants a rare 5* play from me, but when I make a decision on the level of play I ask myself what will satisfy me. With the very nice bowl season we have had too date, I am choosing to make this only a 3* play. I support going higher and I may bump later on today, but do not, and I repeat do not load up on this game. Anything is possible in sports and I have lost strong plays in the past, so play wisely and enjoy watching a very talented team. Hence,
5* USC -6.5
Orange Bowl: Florida State vs Miami, Florida
This game matches Florida State playing out of the ACC with Miami, Florida coming out of the Big East. The two teams feature balanced offenses and defenses and met earlier in the year with Miami prevailing on the road 22-14 in a heavy rain soaked game that didn't allow either team to perform at it's best. These two coaches and programs know each other well and have put on some excellent battles through the years and expect nothing less tonight. Feeling here is that Florida State played the tougher opponents in both the ACC as well as non conference games. Miami struggled at times, both in conference as well as out of conference. Motivation will be high for both teams, but feeling here is that the Seminoles want this game a little more. With QB Rix, they have a more experienced player than his counterpart Berlin. Miami is coming off two seasons of national title hopes and is not at the level of previous years teams as of yet. Hence,
3* Florida State -2
Good Luck All. Happy New Year to everyone. Enjoy the games.
Edited thread to revise my play on USC to my highest rated play of 5*.
Edited thread to revise my play on Florida State to 3*.
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on January 01, 2004 at 04:14 PM.]
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on January 01, 2004 at 08:12 PM.]
Rose Bowl: Michigan vs USC
This game matches the two powerhouses for each conference and once again matches the Big 10 and the Pac 10. Michigan brings a very solid team to the game with strength both offensively and defensively. The Wolverines feature QB John Navarre who averages 59% completions with a 23-9 TD to interception ratio and 255 yards per game and only 15 sacks. They also feature RB Chris Perry who had 1589 yards on 5.0 yards per carry and 42 receptions for 8.7 yards per catch and 19 touchdowns. The receiving corp included WR Braylon Edwards with 75 receptions and 13.7 yards per catch and 14 touchdowns. The defense after giving up 424 yards rushing to Minnesota allowed only 71 yards per game and a 2.7 yards per carry average. The secondary allowed 52.4% completions with a 5-14 TD to interception ratio and 167 yards per game. Michigan's weakness is in special teams as opponents blocked 4 kicks and the kick coverages allowed 20.3 yards per kick-off return and 13.2 yards per punt return with 3 TD's. The punting average was a net 31.3 yards and the placekicker was 9-11 with a decent leg. The positive was in returns with a punt return average of 14.1 yards and 2 TD's. The kick-off returns averaged 20.7 yards per return.
USC brings an explosive team to the game with strength and speed both offensively and defensively. The Trojans feature QB Matt Leinart who averages 63% completions with a 35-9 TD to interception ratio and 3,229 yards and an efficiency rating of 163.2 with only 14 sacks. The running game features a 3 back rotation consisting of LenDale White who had 728 yards and 5.5 yards per carry, Hershel Davis had 644 yards and 5.0 yards per carry, and Reggie Bush had 480 yards and 5.9 yards per carry. The receiving corp featured WR Mike Williams with 87 receptions and a 14.1 yards per catch average and 16 touchdowns and Keary Colbert with 63 receptions and a 13.7 yards per catch average. The defense allowed only 1.9 yards per carry and registered 46 sacks on the year. The secondary yielded 277 yards per game with a 55% completions and a 17-21 TD to interception ratio. The Trojans led the nation in turnover ratio with +20. The special teams were excellent with a net punting average of 43.5 yards and the place kicking was a successful 19-23. Punt returns averaged 9.0 yards and kick-off returns 27.9 yards. The return units allowed 21.1 per kick-off return and 8.1 yards per punt return.
Motivation for this game is extremely high for the Trojans as coach Carroll has his team firmly in a state of mind of us against the world following the BCS debacle and the team is playing all out for a split in the national title. Michigan comes in playing the road of the spoiler. The game is being played in the beautiful Pasedena environment where the Rose Bowl has always been revered by Southern California teams. Expect huge support for the Trojans in this game. The coaching in this game cannot be understated. The combination of Norm Chow's offensive schemes and Pete Carroll defensive plan have turned this program into a monster. The overall team speed of the Trojans both offensively and defensively is impressive and they can strike an opponent from all angles and create terror in the eyes of an opponent. This program is operating at an incredibly high level with full focus, and with full respect to a very good Michigan team, the Wolverines have seen nothing that is comparable or prepares them for the Trojans. Expect USC to dominate this game in all aspects, not letting up either offensively or defensively. The fundamentals of this game are very solid. This is my strongest game of the bowl season but use caution and disciplined money management. This game warrants a rare 5* play from me, but when I make a decision on the level of play I ask myself what will satisfy me. With the very nice bowl season we have had too date, I am choosing to make this only a 3* play. I support going higher and I may bump later on today, but do not, and I repeat do not load up on this game. Anything is possible in sports and I have lost strong plays in the past, so play wisely and enjoy watching a very talented team. Hence,
5* USC -6.5
Orange Bowl: Florida State vs Miami, Florida
This game matches Florida State playing out of the ACC with Miami, Florida coming out of the Big East. The two teams feature balanced offenses and defenses and met earlier in the year with Miami prevailing on the road 22-14 in a heavy rain soaked game that didn't allow either team to perform at it's best. These two coaches and programs know each other well and have put on some excellent battles through the years and expect nothing less tonight. Feeling here is that Florida State played the tougher opponents in both the ACC as well as non conference games. Miami struggled at times, both in conference as well as out of conference. Motivation will be high for both teams, but feeling here is that the Seminoles want this game a little more. With QB Rix, they have a more experienced player than his counterpart Berlin. Miami is coming off two seasons of national title hopes and is not at the level of previous years teams as of yet. Hence,
3* Florida State -2
Good Luck All. Happy New Year to everyone. Enjoy the games.
Edited thread to revise my play on USC to my highest rated play of 5*.
Edited thread to revise my play on Florida State to 3*.
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on January 01, 2004 at 04:14 PM.]
[This message was edited by oldmanTED on January 01, 2004 at 08:12 PM.]
Kid:
Great work as well for you in hoops. Be back to hoops again as early as this weekend. Focusing on the bowl games as well as the NFL playoffs at the moment. I like this weekends wild card match-ups. This oldman can only concentrate on a few things at a time.
Continued good capping to you and Happy New Year. I'll be joining you soon in the hoops forum.
Great work as well for you in hoops. Be back to hoops again as early as this weekend. Focusing on the bowl games as well as the NFL playoffs at the moment. I like this weekends wild card match-ups. This oldman can only concentrate on a few things at a time.
Continued good capping to you and Happy New Year. I'll be joining you soon in the hoops forum.
SSI:
As I have had time to relax and not really watch the morning games, I continue to see a clear picture of the Rose Bowl in my mind. It is generally when I have this level of clarity that I make a 5* play. I am seriously considering bumping this play. If I decide to do so, I will post and notify the forum.
Futhermore, I feel pretty strongly about Florida State as well and may decide to bump it as well. I may wait to see how the Rose Bowl unfolds before making a decision on the Orange Bowl. Once again, I will post and notify the forum if I decide to increase.
The early games were of slight interest to me and I did believe that Florida would beat Iowa but not enough to bump it. The final two games I am more comfortable with. Will wait and see and decide later. Watch for any future posting.
As I have had time to relax and not really watch the morning games, I continue to see a clear picture of the Rose Bowl in my mind. It is generally when I have this level of clarity that I make a 5* play. I am seriously considering bumping this play. If I decide to do so, I will post and notify the forum.
Futhermore, I feel pretty strongly about Florida State as well and may decide to bump it as well. I may wait to see how the Rose Bowl unfolds before making a decision on the Orange Bowl. Once again, I will post and notify the forum if I decide to increase.
The early games were of slight interest to me and I did believe that Florida would beat Iowa but not enough to bump it. The final two games I am more comfortable with. Will wait and see and decide later. Watch for any future posting.
ted, i own my own little convenience store here in the south, i have several employees, i trade the markets and play the sports on the side (have for 17yrs),, this has been my best year to date, normally im a 1 unit player ($100),, my goal is to get to a 20k bankroll and become a 2 unit player ($200) as i believe highly in a 1% play.. the USC game will allow me to do this, ive made a slightly higher wager on USC but totally from winnings on the season.. If i needed to win 1 game, its this one.. understand i wont take a big hit, its out of winnings from a successful football and nba season to date... this is the game that can put me over the top and allow me to wager 2 units per game and stay at the 1% per play system,,, so its come down to this (Usc -6.5)... if its a winner then ill talk with you later, if its a loser then its back to the 1 unit plays.. my best to you ted..
HI TED:
NICE DAY FOR YOU YEASTERDAY CONGRATS TO YOU AND LUCK AND PEACE IN THE NEW YEAR,
I AM LOCAL HERE IN BOSTON MA,
THE LINE WILL BE -7 USC, I AM WORKING ON A 200 PARLEY RIGHT NOW WITH GEORGIA AND MARYLAND.
TED DO YOU THINK THE 1/2 POINT WILL BE A DIFFERANCE OR NOT, I HAVE HAD A STRONG FEELING ON USC ALL WEEK.
THNAKS IN ADVANCE
MARIO
NICE DAY FOR YOU YEASTERDAY CONGRATS TO YOU AND LUCK AND PEACE IN THE NEW YEAR,
I AM LOCAL HERE IN BOSTON MA,
THE LINE WILL BE -7 USC, I AM WORKING ON A 200 PARLEY RIGHT NOW WITH GEORGIA AND MARYLAND.
TED DO YOU THINK THE 1/2 POINT WILL BE A DIFFERANCE OR NOT, I HAVE HAD A STRONG FEELING ON USC ALL WEEK.
THNAKS IN ADVANCE
MARIO
Mario:
If my analysis is correct and the game plays out the way I envision without any unforeseen injuries, I believe this game will follow the pattern of many championship games where the better team opens up a lead, and because the championship is at stake, continues to play hard thereby separating even farther. This is what happened in past Superbowls and the reason the scores were so lopsided. I believe that USC is significantly superior to Michigan and will be able to score due to the play calling of Norm Chow and Michigan will be unable to stop them. I also believe the USC speed will be a huge factor in this game. Michigan is strong but not that fast. Refer to the bowls played too date and you will notice that the Pac 10 teams possess a lot of speed and have been successful. USC is the best of them all. The teams in the Pac 10 must have speed because of the emphasis on the aerial game in the conference. This is a long way of saying that I think USC will win comfortably and the half point should make no difference. Remember, nothing is certain but this is how I see the game unfolding. Good luck whatever you decide to do.
If my analysis is correct and the game plays out the way I envision without any unforeseen injuries, I believe this game will follow the pattern of many championship games where the better team opens up a lead, and because the championship is at stake, continues to play hard thereby separating even farther. This is what happened in past Superbowls and the reason the scores were so lopsided. I believe that USC is significantly superior to Michigan and will be able to score due to the play calling of Norm Chow and Michigan will be unable to stop them. I also believe the USC speed will be a huge factor in this game. Michigan is strong but not that fast. Refer to the bowls played too date and you will notice that the Pac 10 teams possess a lot of speed and have been successful. USC is the best of them all. The teams in the Pac 10 must have speed because of the emphasis on the aerial game in the conference. This is a long way of saying that I think USC will win comfortably and the half point should make no difference. Remember, nothing is certain but this is how I see the game unfolding. Good luck whatever you decide to do.
Guys:
I wanted to inform you that I have decided to increase my play on USC to win the Rose Bowl. All the fundamental and situational factors are in the favor of the Trojans. Therefore, I have decided to raise the play to one of my rare 5* plays. No hype here. Just believe that this play fully warrants this level as the line is holding. This will be my first 5* play that I have posted too date. Once again, would like to remind everyone that anything can happen in a game and nothing is certain. This is a strong play. Nothing more. Do not load up beyond any play that you would normally play strongly. I will edit my thread above accordingly. Good luck everyone.
I wanted to inform you that I have decided to increase my play on USC to win the Rose Bowl. All the fundamental and situational factors are in the favor of the Trojans. Therefore, I have decided to raise the play to one of my rare 5* plays. No hype here. Just believe that this play fully warrants this level as the line is holding. This will be my first 5* play that I have posted too date. Once again, would like to remind everyone that anything can happen in a game and nothing is certain. This is a strong play. Nothing more. Do not load up beyond any play that you would normally play strongly. I will edit my thread above accordingly. Good luck everyone.
