Whoa! Close, I just took a look at my two 12-team parlays. One of them went 9W-2L-1P! Anyways.
Day 6
I've decided to cap all my games at once and stagger my writeups in accordance to start times. That way you'll know my order of bets for the day. Obviously if I win a wager on my first game I'm not going to double up on my second game. Hope that makes since. That way you all know my bets for the day just not the amounts; You can assume a loss will be followed by a martingale double up!
Bet 1- Seattle at Toronto (1:07 PM ET)
Don't let Purcey's high era of 11.05 startle you into immediately betting the over. His only two starts this season was against the Philly's and Tigers -known for some hot bats at one point or another. He has a 2.08 era at home which many will overlook.
Purcey has a 4.24 era in his last 3 starts.
Head to head the under has hit 6 out of 7 times these two teams have met.
Play Under 9.5
Bet 2- Yankees at Boston (3:55 PM ET)
Starting for the Yankee's is Mr. Andy Pettitte with a 2.05 era in the past 3 starts! As a starter in the past 10 games the under has hit 8 times. The last
time he started vs. Boston was on 7/3/08 and the under hit. Overall this season the under has hit 17 times out of 21 starts for Andy.
Wakefield has a 3.04 era for the season at home. The under/over stat is a wash with a 8-8 record as a starter for over/unders.
Yankee's as a team have hit 7 unders, 2 overs, and 1 push in the last 10 games.
Boston has 6 unders, 3 overs, and 1 push in the past 10 games.
Play Under 9
The line opened at 8.5 but jumped up to 9. Why? People immediately think a Boston/Yank game will be a high scoring match up. They ignore the numbers for that day.
Bet 3- Angels at Baltimore (7:05 PM ET)
Liz has a 11.57 era in his last 3 starts; furthermore he has a 5.82 era at home which is still pretty bad especially against the Angels and their bats. In his last 10 starts the over has hit 9 times.
Garland has a 4.12 era average for the season. In his last 10 starts the over has only hit twice while pushing the total twice too. So in other words the under only hit 6 out of 10 times for Garland. Expect the bats for the Halo's to add some extra runs early.
The over is 8-2-1 in BAL last 11 Saturday night games.
Play Over 10
Bet 4- Arizona at San Fran (9:05 PM ET)
In the last 3 starts Brandon Webb has a 1.29 era and only a 2.71 era away from home. The last time he pitched at SF was on 4/22/08 with a win of 4-1 keeping the total under 7.5.
Lincecum has a 3.66 era at home with a 2.55 era at night.
Head to head Arizona crushed them yesterday with a score of 10-2. But the last time a team scored more than 10 runs or more the following day they only had 7 runs total.
In the past 20 times these teams met head to head the total amount of runs under 6.5 was only 6 times.
Don't fall victim to the appetizing 6.5 over; believe me the books realize the Joe Public will say, "6.5? Dude that's so low! $400 on the over! Cha-Ching"
Play Under 6.5
Hope everyone has a profitable day from these picks! Remember this is a martingale thread. Bet these games in order and double up! Hope you like the new way I'm posting plays. This way it's easier for you all to know what I'm doing throughout the day.