Z's NBA YTD 28-11
Investment Plays: 17-5
Action Plays: 11-6
1/09 Action Plays:
Orlando/Atlanta over 192
Hawks/Magic's recent game went well over this total, even with Atlanta playing flat footed on offense in the 1st half. Simply too many offensive weapons here, for both teams, for me not to take the over again. Turkoglu cannot be stopped, neither can Howard, Atl has no answer for these two. 3pt shooters for the Magic coming into the game hot, and will get their fair share of points. Expecting ATL to come out with more energy than they did in their previous matchup and try to run more, and create on offense. Joe Johnson presents a mismatch for Rashard Lewis, as Lewis simply cannot guard him and I expect the Hawks to utilize the mismatch in this game. Really feel like this number should've adjusted 4-6 points after the last game. For two teams who love to shoot the 3-ball, and possess a variety of offensive weapons that can score from anywhere on the floor, I feel comfortable playing the over in what I think is a low number..might upgrade this to Investment before tip-off..
Boston/Cleveland under 184
This total is just a few points too low for me to make it an investment play. However, this matchup, has defense written all over it. If the game, is half as grindy, as last years playoff series the game will stay well under the posted total. The #1 defense vs the #2 defense, and the Celtics talking about wanting to get their defensive swagger back? I'll take the under here.
Orlando Magic -5
Magic thoroughly dominated the last matchup, both offensively and defensively. Had it not been for a 4th quarter where the Magic went cold shooting the ball, and the Hawks could not miss a shot, the Magic could've/should've easily blown the Hawks out on their home floor..The final score did not tell the tale of the game, as it looked to be closer than what it was..Taking a chance, with what is a high number, to cover. But the Magic, are the better team by far, imo, and playing at home, where they have been unstoppable all season, only helps the cause..
Toronto Raptors -5
Grizzlies too terrible of a road team for me to pass this up. Feel like Raptors will come out, score early and often, and control this game throughout the better part of it.
GL as always
(Z)