<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TD>Wager Type:</TD><TD>Future/Prop</TD></TR><TR><TD>Wager Status:</TD><TD>Pending</TD></TR><TR><TD>Risk / To Win Amount:</TD><TD>10000.00 / 18000.00 (USD) Accepted 10/4/2004 1:54 AM</TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Line:</TD><TD>Other Events</TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD>US 2004 Presidential Race</TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD>Presidential Elections</TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD>Democratic Party 180</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
a once great country
Quote from Hansen
do us all a favor and leave this great country!!!
First off I am not in your country and have little desire to be the way it is going right now. Split right down the middle, with an incompetent Government which may not be voted out of office.
If only Bush's gaffes were purely verbal the world would be a much better place right now. Given that current US foreign policy would not get a majority of Brits supporting it, just how many countries in this world would support it exactly?
We are your best allies and until the last 4 years I personally have always felt closer to the USA than Europe. I have travelled in the USA and Europe and dated one American girl for a year.
Bush's foreign policies are not much better thought out than the policies of the high school bully who tries to steal everyone's pocket money in the lunch hour. If he'd spent more than 20 minutes outside of the USA before being elected he might not have mucked things up so very badly.
Quote from Hansen
do us all a favor and leave this great country!!!
First off I am not in your country and have little desire to be the way it is going right now. Split right down the middle, with an incompetent Government which may not be voted out of office.
If only Bush's gaffes were purely verbal the world would be a much better place right now. Given that current US foreign policy would not get a majority of Brits supporting it, just how many countries in this world would support it exactly?
We are your best allies and until the last 4 years I personally have always felt closer to the USA than Europe. I have travelled in the USA and Europe and dated one American girl for a year.
Bush's foreign policies are not much better thought out than the policies of the high school bully who tries to steal everyone's pocket money in the lunch hour. If he'd spent more than 20 minutes outside of the USA before being elected he might not have mucked things up so very badly.
I don't believe you can get almost 2 to 1 on Kerry and that piece of **** Edwards.If you can take my advice and save your money.They are looking for kerry money and I think Bush by a landslide.I live in NC and Edwards couldn't get re-elected if his ass depended on it!:coffeetim Go Bush:coffeetim
Undecided voters typically end up voting against the incumbent. In previous presidential races this has given a 2.5 ± 2.0% advantage to the challenger. I currently estimate that 3.0% of voters are undecided. A 3-1 Kerry-Bush split gives a +1.5% net advantage to Kerry. This leads to a median EV estimate: counting undecided voters, Kerry 280 EV, Bush 258 EV, and a nominal Kerry win probability of 71%, or 2.4-1 in Kerry's favor.
Predicted electoral outcome (11/1/2004 noon EST): Kerry 323 EV, Bush 215 EV
Prediction, undecideds assigned, plus turnout (% Kerry win probability): AR 48, AZ 10, CO 47, FL 90, HI 99, IA 96, ME 100, MI 100, MN 100, MO 34, NC 1, NJ 100, NV 72, NH 100, NM 60, OH 95, OR 100, PA 100, TN 8, VA 12, WA 100, WV 13, WI 91. <!-- EndKerryStateProbabilitiesWithUndecideds -->
Predicted electoral outcome (11/1/2004 noon EST): Kerry 323 EV, Bush 215 EV
Prediction, undecideds assigned, plus turnout (% Kerry win probability): AR 48, AZ 10, CO 47, FL 90, HI 99, IA 96, ME 100, MI 100, MN 100, MO 34, NC 1, NJ 100, NV 72, NH 100, NM 60, OH 95, OR 100, PA 100, TN 8, VA 12, WA 100, WV 13, WI 91. <!-- EndKerryStateProbabilitiesWithUndecideds -->
