Northwestern vs Nebraska 11/5/2011

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Nebraska is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over Northwestern. Taylor Martinez is averaging 198 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Rex Burkhead is projected for 124 rushing yards and a 79% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Northwestern wins, Dan Persa averages 2.34 TD passes vs 0.6 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.22 TDs to 0.82 interceptions. Adonis Smith averages 58 rushing yards and 0.85 rushing TDs when Northwestern wins and 49 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. Nebraska has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEB -19

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