Any insight or chatter? Tough field and top heavy...
I find The Memorial to be a good comp. And looking back past 2 years, guys who Top13 Memorial find there way into Top 13 TPC Boston. 2018 had 8 golfers T13 or better Memorial who T13 TPC Boston. 2018 last time at TPC Boston.
Winner should come in around -15 or 16 under.
Course should play more like the PGA Championship. Bombers will have a big edge. I think a key stat is iron play for the bombers in the 175-200 range. And for less bombers iron play 200+. Some long par 3’s will be a difference in the field.
Big Tournaments/Majors have been producing winners in the 20-35 range past few years. Seems to be the sweet spot.
Studs tend to dominate this course. Studs are bombers go figure.
I have noticed it tends to be a painted top 5 leaderboard. Meaning multiple countries top 5. With Americans winning.
An Australian has placed top 5 past 4/5. A bit of wind twirls threw here and could be a reason for Aussies doing okay as they are known wind guys.
Any thoughts on these guys?
1. Berger win T5! He is in great form and crushing fields with high placements.
2. Finau T5! Great run/form but has yet to close or chase down a win on Sunday. Lots of leaderboard hunts for him past year or 2 and has the distance. Putter has been much better of late. He will win a big one soon.
3. Hatton T5! Iron game sharp but putter cooled off PGA. Nice bounce back as I’m sure many are salty with his PGA dud.
4. Cantlay win T5! Couldn’t putt anything at PGA. Under radar in laoded field.
4. Leischman T5 T10! Aussie guy. Always shows up somewhere he shouldn’t. May be good spot this tournament with nice finishes here in past and even a T5. T5 at Memorial.
5. Casey T5! Great history here. Been dialed in. Just can’t putt. Playing great of late and has superior iron game which is needed here. And is a big hitter surprisingly, so he is a quiet bomber.
6. Xander win! Checks all the key stat boxes but has yet to close. Due a win but not much value for T5
7. Wolff T5 T10! Playing great and about to really break through. Distance and irons are great. Putting weakness but it’s always a factor that players can just get hot and even a field average putting can bring a win.
8. Bryson checks every box and crushes this course. It’s to win or nothing.
9. Day win T5! Aussie who is on fire with top 10 or better in last several tournaments. Good history here. T5 May be a good value.
10. Nasty Yams (Mats) Can’t putt for shit but always places high with top 5’s at both courses past couple years. Great ball striker and driver with sneaky distance.
The memorial comp and history to this course from this year trend shows guys outside top 5 do better at TPC Boston in same year. Following are Grillo, Rose, Woods, Fowler, Xander, An
Looking at a few of these as of today. Any input throw it out there or chime in who you like bet wise!
T10 values (10-1 or more only)
Mitchell 30-1
Norlander 20-1
Kokrak 18-1
Fritelli 14-1
Grillo 15-1
Redman 12-1
An 10-1
Leischman 10-1
T5
An 22-1
Leischman 20-1
Wolff 11-1
Fowler 11-1
Rose 11-1
To win
Berger 33-1
Cantlay 30-1
Reed 30-1
Xander 22-1
I find The Memorial to be a good comp. And looking back past 2 years, guys who Top13 Memorial find there way into Top 13 TPC Boston. 2018 had 8 golfers T13 or better Memorial who T13 TPC Boston. 2018 last time at TPC Boston.
Winner should come in around -15 or 16 under.
Course should play more like the PGA Championship. Bombers will have a big edge. I think a key stat is iron play for the bombers in the 175-200 range. And for less bombers iron play 200+. Some long par 3’s will be a difference in the field.
Big Tournaments/Majors have been producing winners in the 20-35 range past few years. Seems to be the sweet spot.
Studs tend to dominate this course. Studs are bombers go figure.
I have noticed it tends to be a painted top 5 leaderboard. Meaning multiple countries top 5. With Americans winning.
An Australian has placed top 5 past 4/5. A bit of wind twirls threw here and could be a reason for Aussies doing okay as they are known wind guys.
Any thoughts on these guys?
1. Berger win T5! He is in great form and crushing fields with high placements.
2. Finau T5! Great run/form but has yet to close or chase down a win on Sunday. Lots of leaderboard hunts for him past year or 2 and has the distance. Putter has been much better of late. He will win a big one soon.
3. Hatton T5! Iron game sharp but putter cooled off PGA. Nice bounce back as I’m sure many are salty with his PGA dud.
4. Cantlay win T5! Couldn’t putt anything at PGA. Under radar in laoded field.
4. Leischman T5 T10! Aussie guy. Always shows up somewhere he shouldn’t. May be good spot this tournament with nice finishes here in past and even a T5. T5 at Memorial.
5. Casey T5! Great history here. Been dialed in. Just can’t putt. Playing great of late and has superior iron game which is needed here. And is a big hitter surprisingly, so he is a quiet bomber.
6. Xander win! Checks all the key stat boxes but has yet to close. Due a win but not much value for T5
7. Wolff T5 T10! Playing great and about to really break through. Distance and irons are great. Putting weakness but it’s always a factor that players can just get hot and even a field average putting can bring a win.
8. Bryson checks every box and crushes this course. It’s to win or nothing.
9. Day win T5! Aussie who is on fire with top 10 or better in last several tournaments. Good history here. T5 May be a good value.
10. Nasty Yams (Mats) Can’t putt for shit but always places high with top 5’s at both courses past couple years. Great ball striker and driver with sneaky distance.
The memorial comp and history to this course from this year trend shows guys outside top 5 do better at TPC Boston in same year. Following are Grillo, Rose, Woods, Fowler, Xander, An
Looking at a few of these as of today. Any input throw it out there or chime in who you like bet wise!
T10 values (10-1 or more only)
Mitchell 30-1
Norlander 20-1
Kokrak 18-1
Fritelli 14-1
Grillo 15-1
Redman 12-1
An 10-1
Leischman 10-1
T5
An 22-1
Leischman 20-1
Wolff 11-1
Fowler 11-1
Rose 11-1
To win
Berger 33-1
Cantlay 30-1
Reed 30-1
Xander 22-1
