North Texas vs Middle Tennessee 10/27/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Texas winning 42% of simulations, and Middle Tennessee 58% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Texas commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Middle Tennessee wins 72% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Brandin Byrd is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Logan Kilgore is averaging 285 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIDTEN -5
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