North Carolina vs Virginia Tech 11/17/2011

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Virginia Tech is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over North Carolina. Logan Thomas is averaging 230 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and David Wilson is projected for 145 rushing yards and a 67% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where North Carolina wins, Bryn Renner averages 1.86 TD passes vs 1.01 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.93 TDs to 1.3 interceptions. Giovani Bernard averages 103 rushing yards and 1.24 rushing TDs when North Carolina wins and 90 yards and 0.57 TDs in losses. Virginia Tech has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is VTECH -10

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