North Carolina vs North Carolina State 11/5/2011

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North Carolina is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat North Carolina State. Giovani Bernard is projected for 115 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where North Carolina State wins, Mike Glennon averages 2.89 TD passes vs 1.24 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.58 TDs to 1.6 interceptions. James Washington averages 63 rushing yards and 0.47 rushing TDs when North Carolina State wins and 55 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. North Carolina has a 34% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NCST +3.5

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