North Carolina State vs Maryland 10/20/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Carolina State winning 56% of simulations, and Maryland 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Carolina State commits fewer turnovers in 32% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. Maryland wins 54% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Mike Glennon is averaging 260 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Brandon Ross is averaging 33 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MD +4.5

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