NHL Picks, Fri 2/7. This season: + $15 537 (274-221-49)

Mathemagician · Feb 6, 2003

Today’s investments:

Carolina ML +156 / estimate +113 / wager $300
New Jersey ML -275 / estimate -357 / wager $300
Phoenix ML +150 / estimate +137 / wager $300
San Jose ML +110 / estimate -101 / wager $300

Click here for Mathemagician’s detailed track record and more information for NHL 2002-2003

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Mathemagician’s analysis is based on many years experience of odds making in NHL and other sports. Methods used in odds making process include careful pre-season analysis, continuous measuring of each teams abilities using power ratings and considering the daily news in each individual game.

The pre-season analysis includes mathematical and statistical analysis and determination of the changes caused by the transactions. The power rating database is always updated after each game and every published estimate is adjusted to consider injuries, fatigue caused by the schedule, different motivations and many other factors.

The pick is profitable in the long run only if the current price is higher than the estimate. Otherwise the bet is not worth placing.

alwayswins · Feb 7, 2003

Periodically I check how you're doing because I have had a lot of success finding good handicappers. If the info is free I'm happy but if a handicapper is good i'll pay as long as I make a lot more than I pay. But on a day to day basis I don't check you. Please tell me if I'm evaluating correctly. Yesterday you picked

Calgary ML -110 / estimate -125 / wager $300
Colorado ML +130 / estimate +114 / wager $300
Montreal ML +155 / estimate +133 / wager $300

Pit - Fla Under 5.5 -110 / estimate -159 / wager $100

You went 1-2-1. Your winner Colorado gave you +390
Your losers Montreal -300 and the Pitt-Fla total -110
Total for the day was a loss of 20. You had your total earnings going from 15547 to 15537 showing a loss of 10. Am I doing something wrong? I realize the difference is small but remember I never check the figures. I take your figures to be accurate. If I did something wrong please tell me. If not then I have to check your back figures before I ever do business with you, if I ever do business with you.

supersi · Feb 7, 2003

if I'm correct, he wrote that he wagered only $100, so he only lost $400. Winning $390, the total loss would only be $10.

Mathemagician · Feb 8, 2003

My wagers indicate the amounts I am risking for each bet. Therefore I was risking $1000 ($300 + $300 + $300 + $100) and the gross winnigs were $990 ($690 from Colorado and $300 from the Calgary-push). That is where the $10 loss comes from.