23-24-3 This season.
Looking to get above .500 by the end of the week.
Buffalo (-3)
The Bills have a much better pass defense than they did last year. They are only allowing 160 yards per game.
After a great start, Ramsey has struggled with only 2 TDs and 4 INTs the last 3 games. He has also been sacked 21 times.
I think the Skins penalties (11 per game) are still a problem. The crowd will be loud in Ralph Wilson Stadium and they will rattle Ramsey and his OL into false start penalties and force them to burn timeouts early.
The Bills have played terrible the last few weeks and were embarrassed in the Meadowlands LW. I think they come out on fire today.
San Diego (+5')
San Diego fits in a great angle spot this week:
Play on any winless team after Week 5 or later.
Since 1993 it is 15-2 ATS.
I think the Chargers have taken advantage of the bye week to tighten up their defense.
The Browns are only 4-9 SU and 4-8-1 ATS when hosting teams with a losing record.
San Diego is desperate and Marty started 0-5 in 2001 with the Skins and finished 8-8.
Cincinnati (+2')
I know Home Dogs have been terrible this year, but I think the Bungles get a win here after a couple of real close calls.
Cincy is 6-1-1 ATS off a bye week.
I think the Bungles will force Boller to beat them.
Also, Marvin Lewis used to be the Ravens DC, so expect a good possibility that we will see a couple of trick plays.
Minnesota (+3')
The Vikes are 10-2 ATS their L12 overall.
They talk about Moss this and Moss that, but it is their running game that has them undefeated (avg 150 ypg).
Beuerlein is a good QB, but the Vikings have forced 13 INTs this year.
I think this line is low b/c Minnesota can't possibly remain undefeated after this week, can they? Yes, they can.
Tennessee (+1')
Fisher is 11-4 ATS as a dog versus NFC teams and 41-21-1 overall as a dog.
The Panthers are 5-20 ATS off a Road ATS win.
The Titans have the better offense and just as good defense and the Panthers are being outgained by an avg of 40 yards per game.
Miami (-5')
The Fins are 12-2 SU and 9-5 ATS at home versus the Pats since 1995. They are also
14-3-1 STS as HFs and 5-1 ATS as Div HFs.
The Pats are 0-13 SU in Miami during the months of Sept and Oct.
The L3 games Miami has won by an average of
22-9.
The Pats defense is still banged up and Miami really re-established the run against Jacksonville LW.
Plus, Brady has a ton of nagging injuries and the Fins have only allowed mre than 10 points once this year (Week 1 vs. Houston).
Tampa Bay (-3')
The Bucs have covered their L6 away from home and the Niners are 2-10-2 ATS their L14 games overall.
The Niners cannot stretch the field like the Colts did against the Bucs defense.
The Bucs are trying to get a share of the division lead back. I expect at least a 10-point win here.
May have 1 more later.
Looking to get above .500 by the end of the week.
Buffalo (-3)
The Bills have a much better pass defense than they did last year. They are only allowing 160 yards per game.
After a great start, Ramsey has struggled with only 2 TDs and 4 INTs the last 3 games. He has also been sacked 21 times.
I think the Skins penalties (11 per game) are still a problem. The crowd will be loud in Ralph Wilson Stadium and they will rattle Ramsey and his OL into false start penalties and force them to burn timeouts early.
The Bills have played terrible the last few weeks and were embarrassed in the Meadowlands LW. I think they come out on fire today.
San Diego (+5')
San Diego fits in a great angle spot this week:
Play on any winless team after Week 5 or later.
Since 1993 it is 15-2 ATS.
I think the Chargers have taken advantage of the bye week to tighten up their defense.
The Browns are only 4-9 SU and 4-8-1 ATS when hosting teams with a losing record.
San Diego is desperate and Marty started 0-5 in 2001 with the Skins and finished 8-8.
Cincinnati (+2')
I know Home Dogs have been terrible this year, but I think the Bungles get a win here after a couple of real close calls.
Cincy is 6-1-1 ATS off a bye week.
I think the Bungles will force Boller to beat them.
Also, Marvin Lewis used to be the Ravens DC, so expect a good possibility that we will see a couple of trick plays.
Minnesota (+3')
The Vikes are 10-2 ATS their L12 overall.
They talk about Moss this and Moss that, but it is their running game that has them undefeated (avg 150 ypg).
Beuerlein is a good QB, but the Vikings have forced 13 INTs this year.
I think this line is low b/c Minnesota can't possibly remain undefeated after this week, can they? Yes, they can.
Tennessee (+1')
Fisher is 11-4 ATS as a dog versus NFC teams and 41-21-1 overall as a dog.
The Panthers are 5-20 ATS off a Road ATS win.
The Titans have the better offense and just as good defense and the Panthers are being outgained by an avg of 40 yards per game.
Miami (-5')
The Fins are 12-2 SU and 9-5 ATS at home versus the Pats since 1995. They are also
14-3-1 STS as HFs and 5-1 ATS as Div HFs.
The Pats are 0-13 SU in Miami during the months of Sept and Oct.
The L3 games Miami has won by an average of
22-9.
The Pats defense is still banged up and Miami really re-established the run against Jacksonville LW.
Plus, Brady has a ton of nagging injuries and the Fins have only allowed mre than 10 points once this year (Week 1 vs. Houston).
Tampa Bay (-3')
The Bucs have covered their L6 away from home and the Niners are 2-10-2 ATS their L14 games overall.
The Niners cannot stretch the field like the Colts did against the Bucs defense.
The Bucs are trying to get a share of the division lead back. I expect at least a 10-point win here.
May have 1 more later.
