NFL Week 5

[lewis]

[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]10* 0-1 -10 units
8* 1-0 +8
5* 1-2 -6
4* 2-1 +4
3* 2-2 -0.2
2* 1-3 -4.6
1* 0-1 -1.1

YTD 7-10 -9.9 units


5* Dallas -3 -120 Dallas is 9-3 ATS vs the Giants their last 12 meetings and Dallas is 12-6 ATS after a bye week. They are also 3-0 ATS after Monday Night Football, 6-2 ATS after a win vs a division rival, they are 6-1 ATS against their division last 7, 8-2-1 last 10 as a favorite, and 6-2-1 ATS their last 9 home games. The NYG are 3-5-2 ATS on the road last 10, 2-5 ATS vs the division, and 5-6 ATS last 11 as an underdog. [/font]

[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]Now to the reasons I like the Cowboys this Sunday:[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#1-Cowboys are the better team[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#2-Cowboys are playing at home[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#3-Giants are overrated IMO right now after their win in GB and we are getting a great line on this game[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#4-Warner will get hit hard and often and I expect at least one defensive TD[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#5-Giants have been fortunate with all the turnovers that they have received so far this year[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#6-Parcells will have his team ready after the bye week[/font]
[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]#7-Did I mention that Warner is the QB of the Giants?????


Back with more


lewis[/font]

 

[lewis]

Possible Plays

Other games of interest:

[font=verdana, arial, helvetica]SF -1 6-4 ATS L 10 at home; this is a perfect setup game as SF has looked horrible and the Cards come off of an impressive performance vs the Saints. Arz is 2-8 ATS as a road underdog and they are 18-26 ATS coming off of a home win. As the old saying goes "you are never as good as your best game or as bad as your worst game"

Jax -2- I am not real sure about this game since I don't like playing road favorites but the Jax defense is tough and I am not sold on the Chargers just yet. SD is 16-25 ATS as a home dog and 3-8 ATS L 11 games off of an upset win as a home dog.

TB +3 Bucs are desperate and need a win and the Saints are nothing to brag about. NO is 1-10 ATS after being a road favorite

Carolina +5- Panthers still have a great defense but their offense has takenb a step backwards with the losses of Smith at WR and Davis at RB but I expect an excellent effort here. The Broncos are not dominating anyone right now and the Panthers should keep this one close.


Back with exact lines and plays later in the week


lewis[/font]

 

[jaypaw]

wow lewis

I love your reasoning on almost all of your picks this week - I initially leaned arizona, but I think now I'll just lay off of it.


GL

 

[lewis]

Jaypaw

That SF game I wil be playing for sure as I like it as much as I like the Cowboys this week but I am waiting for the line to move. I really like this weeks card and hopefully I can get back some of my lost $$$$$

GL

lewis

 

[lewis]

adding units

10* Dallas -3 -120


lewis

 

[lewis]

7.5* parlay to win 19 units
Car +5
SF ML -120