NFL Week #5

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15-15-3 YTD.

Ready for a good day here.

New England (+1)
This line seems to be daring us to take Tennessee b/c after all they beat the hell out of Pittsburgh LW (although the stats say otherwise).

The Pats also played pretty well versus the Skins with the exception of the turnovers.

The Pats are 17-5 ATS the L22 as a Home Dog versus non-division teams nd the Titans are 7-13-2 ATS as a non-divisional Road Fav.

Buffalo (-7')
Cincy got the monkey off their back LW and finally won while Buffalo looked awful versus Philly (played better in the 2nd half).

The Bengals are 4-9 ATS before a bye week and 1-4 ATS off a SU win the last 2 seasons.

Buffalo will be able to establish some kind of running game against the Bungles D.

Seattle (+2')
Seattle was 6-2 ATS as a Road Doggie last year.

Seattle is very good at forcing turnovers (+11). Brett Favre and the Pack still are turning it over and their rushing defense has some questions after allowing the Bears to run for 180+ yards.

Minnesota (-4')
Revenge game for Minny after losing on a remarkable OT play by Vick last year.

The Falcons defense is #22 in pass defense this year. The Falcons give up a lot of big plays and Minnesota makes big plays.

Minnesota has also been very balanced on offense this year. Meanwhile, Atlanta has to run the ball b/c Doug Johnson has not been able to throw the ball consistently.

Kansas City (-3)
Denver is only 1-7-1 ATS the L9 division road games.

A lot has been made of the KC offense, but the defense has been better this year and I believe the defense will win this game.

Denver has beaten all pud teams and this is their first real test.

Philadelphia (-4')
The Eagles are 20-8-2 ATS in divisional play under Reid.

Philly also got their running game established last week.

I think this is Philly's statement game against the old ball coach.
 

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2-4 today, should have been 3-3 but that Philly choke job cost me big. The only thing the prevent defense does is prevent you from covering.

Tonight:
Cleveland (+7)
 

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