4-5 44.44% (-6.23U)
Baltimore/Cleveland Over 40 -107 @ Canbet
5.35/5.00
This total was actually set a point higher than last week's Ravens/Steelers total where the Ravens defense was on the road against a high powered Steelers offense. Now, we have the Ravens defense at home with two teams that combined for 18 points last week. Add in the fact that Cleveland allowed only 6 points to the Colts offense and a logical conclusion would be an easy under, right? Not in my opinion: Kyle Boller will be much more comfortable at home against another suspect defense. I expect the law of averages to play out here a little and state that the Browns will not have two stellar defensive performances in a row. The Ravens defense is over-rated, just like I said last week. I am going to fade the Ravens defense again.
Arizona +4.5 -107 @ Canbet
2.14/2.00
This is mostly just a contrarian pick but we do have a home dog that has some confidence on offense. Perhaps the Arizona heat can slow down the Hawks attack but I think either way Arizona can keep up with Seattle in this one so a game that could come down to a field goal at the end, I like the points.
Pittsburgh/KC OVER 47.5 -107 @ Canbet
2.14/2.00
I know the Steelers want to run the ball and keep KC's offense off the field but I don't see it. KC will score often in this game. The Steelers corners were taking some interference penalties last week against the Ravens but Boller just couldn't expose them. They will be exposed and Maddox & co. will need to and can keep pace.
SF/St. louis UNDER 47 -107 @ Canbet
2.14/2.00
I don't think this one will make it over. Martz has been crucified for not running Faulk more so I think you will see him running. SF will want to control the clock by running their two backs so I see the clock ticking away in this game. The over looks too easy with SF putting a 40 spot last week and the Rams putting Bulger in to spark the offense.
Baltimore/Cleveland Over 40 -107 @ Canbet
5.35/5.00
This total was actually set a point higher than last week's Ravens/Steelers total where the Ravens defense was on the road against a high powered Steelers offense. Now, we have the Ravens defense at home with two teams that combined for 18 points last week. Add in the fact that Cleveland allowed only 6 points to the Colts offense and a logical conclusion would be an easy under, right? Not in my opinion: Kyle Boller will be much more comfortable at home against another suspect defense. I expect the law of averages to play out here a little and state that the Browns will not have two stellar defensive performances in a row. The Ravens defense is over-rated, just like I said last week. I am going to fade the Ravens defense again.
Arizona +4.5 -107 @ Canbet
2.14/2.00
This is mostly just a contrarian pick but we do have a home dog that has some confidence on offense. Perhaps the Arizona heat can slow down the Hawks attack but I think either way Arizona can keep up with Seattle in this one so a game that could come down to a field goal at the end, I like the points.
Pittsburgh/KC OVER 47.5 -107 @ Canbet
2.14/2.00
I know the Steelers want to run the ball and keep KC's offense off the field but I don't see it. KC will score often in this game. The Steelers corners were taking some interference penalties last week against the Ravens but Boller just couldn't expose them. They will be exposed and Maddox & co. will need to and can keep pace.
SF/St. louis UNDER 47 -107 @ Canbet
2.14/2.00
I don't think this one will make it over. Martz has been crucified for not running Faulk more so I think you will see him running. SF will want to control the clock by running their two backs so I see the clock ticking away in this game. The over looks too easy with SF putting a 40 spot last week and the Rams putting Bulger in to spark the offense.
