NFL Week #10

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5-2-2 LW and now 36-33-5 on the year.

Pittsburgh (-7)
The Cardinals have not been away from home for a month and now go to the cold in Pittsburgh.

The Cards are 1-7 ATS their L8 on the road.

I know the Steelers have a lot of negative trends against them, but I think they start to right the ship today.

Plaxico Burress is 6-5, 229 going against Arizona CB's that average 5-10, 185. Arizona's secondary has given up 12 TD passes and only picked off 5. As Lee Corso would say, Yo!

Tampa Bay (-3')
Chucky Gruden is 7-1 ATS with the Bucs after a loss.

The Bucs are also 6-1 SU and ATS their L7 on the road.

Carolina is just 1-3 ATS at home this year.

Miami (+6)
I see the line going up and a lot of people on the Titans off their bye week. I still go with Miami.

Miami is 4-0 SU and ATS away from home this year and have won all 4 by DD. They won't win this by DD, but they will be in it until the end.

I'm getting almost a TD here with a top-notch defense. I'll bite.

Jacksonville (+6')
The Colts finally got that Miami monkey off their back and this is a letdown spot even though it is a divisional game.

Clearly, the Colts should win here, but this line at 6.5 looks like a trap.

I do not know how Manning is going to play with the distraction of this seemingly bogus harassment suit from his days at Tennessee.

Jacksonville has hung around in most of their recent games. I think they will do so today.

Cleveland (+9')
The Chiefs have now had a full week of national media and even entertainment media patting them on the back. Letdown!

The Browns have a better defense and I like them to keep it close.

The Chiefs did allow over 350 yards passing to the Browns LY.

This is also a revenge game b/c the Browns' Helmetgate loss to KC in Week 1 likely cost them a playoff spot.

Dallas (-4)
The Bills are 1-6 SU and ATS on the road since last November.

In the Bills' last 3 roadies, they have been outscored 85-15, committed 14 TO's and allowed 14 sacks.

Dallas is 10-2 ATS catching a team off a bye.

This is important for Dallas to get a win before the schedule gets really tough down the stretch.

Baltimore (+7)
Billick is 20-9-2 ATS as a dog. I think this line is inflated b/c of Faulk' s return.

The Rams are also 3-7 ATS on Sunday Night.

[This message was edited by Hoosier Daddy on November 09, 2003 at 08:33 PM.]
 

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