Here we go:
New England (+1)
I think the line is moving b/c of Lawyer Milloy's move to B-Lo.
However, The Pats simply match up better. They are 4-1 ATS the last 5 this series. The Bills are also 0-9 ATS in their 9 openers.
I think the Bills will have even more trouble running the ball on NE with the addition of Ted Washington. This means Bledsoe will have to compensate for that. No one has Bledsoe more figured out more than Bill Belichick.
The Pats won in Buffalo 38-7 LY and won by DD in Foxboro.
The Bills are also a little banged up on the OL and their starting LG Ruben Brown may be out.
I think the Pats will get to Bledsoe today. After all, Drew took 54 sacks last year.
Baltimore (+5')
The dog is 5-2 ATS the L7 in this series and the visitor is 7-0-1 ATS the L4Y in this series.
The Ravens are also 12-3 ATS as a Road Pup under Billick.
I think the Steelers are going to miss Joey Porter today in their nickel coverage. The Steelers rated 20th against the pass and the Ravens will be a better passing team this year even with a rookie starter.
Plus, the Steelers are 2-7 ATS in their L9 home openers.
Carolina (-4)
The Jags are 2-5 ATS in road openers and 5-10-1 ATS on the road versus the NFC. Meanwhile the Panthers are 8-2 ATS the L10 versus non-division teams and were 3-1 as home chalk LY.
The Jags are hurting offesnively without Jimmy Smith. Plus, they tried to move Mark Brunell just over a week ago. I really question their offensive continuity against a defense that is led by a DL that had 34 sacks LY.
Indianapolis (PK)
The Colts have won both of their last meetings LY. They were down 16-0 at half LY and still won 28-23.
The Browns have 3 new LB's and their LT Ross Verba is out for this one.
Opposing QB's passed for 71% on the Browns secondary during the preseason.
Plus, the Edge is healthy and their defense is going to force more turnovers this season.
Minnesota (+5)
The Vikings are 4-0 ATS the L4 versus the Pack and the Pack is only 7-11 ATS in their L18 home openers. The Pack is also only 20-23-1 ATS as a home fav the last 6 years.
Much is being made about the renovation od Lambeau and a lot of Packer greats being back in town. However, this is a huge distraction and the Vikings ended up playing good football last year.
Atlanta (+2)
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS their L6 openers.
I think too much is being made of Parcells (even though I am a big fan) and the fact that they rolled the Raiders in Week 3 of the preseason.
Atlanta is also 7-1-1 ATS as a dog of 2.5 or less. I think this line is a trap b/c Vick is out and Parcells is debuting in Big D. This line is daring you to take Dallas.
Maybe 1-2 more later.
New England (+1)
I think the line is moving b/c of Lawyer Milloy's move to B-Lo.
However, The Pats simply match up better. They are 4-1 ATS the last 5 this series. The Bills are also 0-9 ATS in their 9 openers.
I think the Bills will have even more trouble running the ball on NE with the addition of Ted Washington. This means Bledsoe will have to compensate for that. No one has Bledsoe more figured out more than Bill Belichick.
The Pats won in Buffalo 38-7 LY and won by DD in Foxboro.
The Bills are also a little banged up on the OL and their starting LG Ruben Brown may be out.
I think the Pats will get to Bledsoe today. After all, Drew took 54 sacks last year.
Baltimore (+5')
The dog is 5-2 ATS the L7 in this series and the visitor is 7-0-1 ATS the L4Y in this series.
The Ravens are also 12-3 ATS as a Road Pup under Billick.
I think the Steelers are going to miss Joey Porter today in their nickel coverage. The Steelers rated 20th against the pass and the Ravens will be a better passing team this year even with a rookie starter.
Plus, the Steelers are 2-7 ATS in their L9 home openers.
Carolina (-4)
The Jags are 2-5 ATS in road openers and 5-10-1 ATS on the road versus the NFC. Meanwhile the Panthers are 8-2 ATS the L10 versus non-division teams and were 3-1 as home chalk LY.
The Jags are hurting offesnively without Jimmy Smith. Plus, they tried to move Mark Brunell just over a week ago. I really question their offensive continuity against a defense that is led by a DL that had 34 sacks LY.
Indianapolis (PK)
The Colts have won both of their last meetings LY. They were down 16-0 at half LY and still won 28-23.
The Browns have 3 new LB's and their LT Ross Verba is out for this one.
Opposing QB's passed for 71% on the Browns secondary during the preseason.
Plus, the Edge is healthy and their defense is going to force more turnovers this season.
Minnesota (+5)
The Vikings are 4-0 ATS the L4 versus the Pack and the Pack is only 7-11 ATS in their L18 home openers. The Pack is also only 20-23-1 ATS as a home fav the last 6 years.
Much is being made about the renovation od Lambeau and a lot of Packer greats being back in town. However, this is a huge distraction and the Vikings ended up playing good football last year.
Atlanta (+2)
The Falcons are 5-1 ATS their L6 openers.
I think too much is being made of Parcells (even though I am a big fan) and the fact that they rolled the Raiders in Week 3 of the preseason.
Atlanta is also 7-1-1 ATS as a dog of 2.5 or less. I think this line is a trap b/c Vick is out and Parcells is debuting in Big D. This line is daring you to take Dallas.
Maybe 1-2 more later.
