Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans [DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~ Picks Lions as their Top Pick & Bet unanimously>>Jerry Nyles NFL Capper, Mike Stewart NFL Capper, Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti, Harold Johnson NFL Analyst, Kyle Davis NFL Capper, Sam Trever NFL Capper, Steve Davis NFL Analyst, Sal Siciliano ,NFL Capper, Harvey DeCarlo NFL Capper Bobby Lancer NFL Analyst Handicapper...... Rx personal friends so do I !!!!!!
Lions have won their last 5 games by an average of 20 points and have a point differential of +110 on the year and have wins over the Packers, Vikings, and Cowboys in their last 4 games. Their only loss was a close one at the beginning of the season. The Texans have now dropped 2 of their last 3 games and Stroud has had likely the two worst games of his career in that stretch, clearly in the midst of a slump. Houston will be without Nico Collins and Steffon Diggs due to their injuries as well. Houston have not played as well as their record indicates overall, either, holding a +1 differential despite being 6-3.
Heading into week 10, the Lions are 3rd in three offensive power rankings In their 24-14 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense gave up 138 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. Despite this, they held Green Bay to a 25% third-down conversion rate and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns. The Lions gave up 411 total yards, but the Packers were unable to capitalize on their drives, thanks in part to a 59% completion rate for Detroit’s defense. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.2 points per game, and rank 7th in total yards with 369.6 per game. Despite being 26th in passing attempts, they are 15th in passing yards, averaging 217 per game. Detroit is 6th in rushing yards, with 152.6 per game, on 31 attempts per game. My Bet -3 buying the hook & Money Line Hedge-$186 X 5 press at this price.
Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~ as their Second Top Pick & Bet unanimously>Falcons. The New Orleans Saints are a mess right now, as they've lost 7 straight games and are 1-6 ATS in those games. The Saints just lost to the Panthers and then responded by firing their coach. The Atlanta Falcons are far and away the more trustworthy team, the offense has picked up, and the defense keeps getting timely stops. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
On defense, the Falcons are allowing 24 points per game which ranks 20th best. Atlanta is allowing 218.3 passing yards per game placing them 19th. Opponents are rushing for 133.1 yards per game on the ground placing Atlanta 23rd.
Atlanta is 5-4 against the spread this season. They are 3-0 against the spread when they are playing on the road. The Falcons are 4-3 against the spread when they have been favored. The under is 5-4 when the Falcons have played this season. The over is 2-1 when the Falcons have played on the road. The over is 3-1 when the total has been set at 46 points or less this year for Falcons games. My Bet Falcons -3 buying hook & Hedging Money Line-$185 X 5 [Press]
Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts Analysis by [DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti,& Harold Johnson NFL Analyst
Buffalo is 7-2 overall this season. The Bills lost back-to-back games to Baltimore and Houston in Week 4 and 5. Since those two losses, the Bills have won four straight games entering this matchup against the Colts. Two of their wins during this streak have been on the road as they defeated the Jets and Seattle away from home. In their last game, Buffalo defeated Miami 30-27 at home on Sunday, Nov. 3. The Bills led for a majority of the game, but they never led by as much as seven points. Tyler Bass drilled a 61-yard field goal to win the game in the closing seconds of the fourth quarter. Quarterback Josh Allen threw for 235 on 25-for-39 passing. He tossed three touchdowns and an interception in the win. James Cook led the running backs with 44 yards on the ground. Ray Davis caught two passes for 70 yards and a touchdown to lead the Bills, too. Josh Allen isn’t going to make as many mistakes as Sam Darnold did against this Indianapolis Colts defense. That means more opportunities for Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman and Amari Cooper to attack a very vulnerable Colt's secondary. Indianapolis could have some success on the ground with Jonathan Taylor, but the Buffalo Bills pass rush will force at least one Joe Flacco turnover and that should help lay the groundwork for a two-score win on Sunday." Assuming they don’t shoot themselves in the foot, the Bills should be too much for the Colts in this matchup. They have an edge on both sides of the ball; even being on the road shouldn’t be enough to level the playing field." My bet Bills Money Line -$210 X 3 [Press]
My Teaser Bets X 3 [on the money press]
2 Team 7 Point Teaser Detroit +3 1/2 & Falcons +3 1/2
2 Team 7 Point Teaser Detroit +3 1/2 & Bills +3
2 Team 7 Point Teaser Bills +3 & Falcons +3 1/2
3 Team 7 Point Teaser Falcons +3 1/2 & Detroit +3 1/2 & Bills +3
Lions have won their last 5 games by an average of 20 points and have a point differential of +110 on the year and have wins over the Packers, Vikings, and Cowboys in their last 4 games. Their only loss was a close one at the beginning of the season. The Texans have now dropped 2 of their last 3 games and Stroud has had likely the two worst games of his career in that stretch, clearly in the midst of a slump. Houston will be without Nico Collins and Steffon Diggs due to their injuries as well. Houston have not played as well as their record indicates overall, either, holding a +1 differential despite being 6-3.
Heading into week 10, the Lions are 3rd in three offensive power rankings In their 24-14 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense gave up 138 rushing yards on just 23 attempts. Despite this, they held Green Bay to a 25% third-down conversion rate and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns. The Lions gave up 411 total yards, but the Packers were unable to capitalize on their drives, thanks in part to a 59% completion rate for Detroit’s defense. They lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.2 points per game, and rank 7th in total yards with 369.6 per game. Despite being 26th in passing attempts, they are 15th in passing yards, averaging 217 per game. Detroit is 6th in rushing yards, with 152.6 per game, on 31 attempts per game. My Bet -3 buying the hook & Money Line Hedge-$186 X 5 press at this price.
Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints
DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders ~ as their Second Top Pick & Bet unanimously>Falcons. The New Orleans Saints are a mess right now, as they've lost 7 straight games and are 1-6 ATS in those games. The Saints just lost to the Panthers and then responded by firing their coach. The Atlanta Falcons are far and away the more trustworthy team, the offense has picked up, and the defense keeps getting timely stops. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 265+ passing yards in five of his last six November appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Kyle Pitts has recorded 51+ receiving yards in five of the Falcons' last six games as favorites following a win.
- Drake London has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons' last four games as favorites following a win.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons' last three games following a win.
- Bijan Robinson has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons' last four Sunday games as favorites.
- Kirk Cousins has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last seven November appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last three Week 10 appearances.
- Heading into Week 10, Kirk Cousins has recorded the most passing yards in a single game this season (509 vs Buccaneers, Week 5).
On defense, the Falcons are allowing 24 points per game which ranks 20th best. Atlanta is allowing 218.3 passing yards per game placing them 19th. Opponents are rushing for 133.1 yards per game on the ground placing Atlanta 23rd.
Atlanta is 5-4 against the spread this season. They are 3-0 against the spread when they are playing on the road. The Falcons are 4-3 against the spread when they have been favored. The under is 5-4 when the Falcons have played this season. The over is 2-1 when the Falcons have played on the road. The over is 3-1 when the total has been set at 46 points or less this year for Falcons games. My Bet Falcons -3 buying hook & Hedging Money Line-$185 X 5 [Press]
Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts Analysis by [DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Sports Analyst Robert Vinaltti,& Harold Johnson NFL Analyst
Buffalo is 7-2 overall this season. The Bills lost back-to-back games to Baltimore and Houston in Week 4 and 5. Since those two losses, the Bills have won four straight games entering this matchup against the Colts. Two of their wins during this streak have been on the road as they defeated the Jets and Seattle away from home. In their last game, Buffalo defeated Miami 30-27 at home on Sunday, Nov. 3. The Bills led for a majority of the game, but they never led by as much as seven points. Tyler Bass drilled a 61-yard field goal to win the game in the closing seconds of the fourth quarter. Quarterback Josh Allen threw for 235 on 25-for-39 passing. He tossed three touchdowns and an interception in the win. James Cook led the running backs with 44 yards on the ground. Ray Davis caught two passes for 70 yards and a touchdown to lead the Bills, too. Josh Allen isn’t going to make as many mistakes as Sam Darnold did against this Indianapolis Colts defense. That means more opportunities for Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman and Amari Cooper to attack a very vulnerable Colt's secondary. Indianapolis could have some success on the ground with Jonathan Taylor, but the Buffalo Bills pass rush will force at least one Joe Flacco turnover and that should help lay the groundwork for a two-score win on Sunday." Assuming they don’t shoot themselves in the foot, the Bills should be too much for the Colts in this matchup. They have an edge on both sides of the ball; even being on the road shouldn’t be enough to level the playing field." My bet Bills Money Line -$210 X 3 [Press]
My Teaser Bets X 3 [on the money press]
2 Team 7 Point Teaser Detroit +3 1/2 & Falcons +3 1/2
2 Team 7 Point Teaser Detroit +3 1/2 & Bills +3
2 Team 7 Point Teaser Bills +3 & Falcons +3 1/2
3 Team 7 Point Teaser Falcons +3 1/2 & Detroit +3 1/2 & Bills +3
