Season is 12-9 for the year. A few words about my 3 plays....
Detroit +3
When so many things point one way I like to look for a reason to play contrarian in my pick. Parcels is all I hear about and no doubt he deserves the props, I just hope to get him looking ahead and the team reading their press clippings. Here's a couple of small trends off Covers.
- Detroit is 12-3 ATS after a bye week.
- Detroit is 2-0 last two years in this match-up.
- Dallas is 2-6 in their last 8 games when favored.
Going to take the Lions coming off a bye week at home. They are only 1-4 but their losses were to Green Bay, Minnesota, Denver and SF, not horrible teams. They even covered the number in those last two games so lets shoot for the trifecta.
Denver +4 Rio/Skybook **
Vikes are 5-0 but I think they will have trouble pulling away (or beating) a good Denver team. Broncs are much improved on the defensive side of the ball and offensively Denver plays better on the road than they do at home. Not to take anything away but not completely sold on Minny yet, their five wins have been against average teams and the Broncos only loss was a 1 pointer against KC on the road. Think they win here if not at least keep it close. Also solid lean on this game going over the total though no action on it.
Jets -2.5 -130 Cascade
This is just one of those games where I feel the Jets are the better team. They needed that first win last week and now after getting it they will loosen up some and play good ball. There's a trend somewhere about teams picking up their first win having good success the next week but as I said just like playing the best team anyway. Getting down at 2.5 instead of having to lay the 3 is big when betting the NFL.
Good luck guys.
Detroit +3
When so many things point one way I like to look for a reason to play contrarian in my pick. Parcels is all I hear about and no doubt he deserves the props, I just hope to get him looking ahead and the team reading their press clippings. Here's a couple of small trends off Covers.
- Detroit is 12-3 ATS after a bye week.
- Detroit is 2-0 last two years in this match-up.
- Dallas is 2-6 in their last 8 games when favored.
Going to take the Lions coming off a bye week at home. They are only 1-4 but their losses were to Green Bay, Minnesota, Denver and SF, not horrible teams. They even covered the number in those last two games so lets shoot for the trifecta.
Denver +4 Rio/Skybook **
Vikes are 5-0 but I think they will have trouble pulling away (or beating) a good Denver team. Broncs are much improved on the defensive side of the ball and offensively Denver plays better on the road than they do at home. Not to take anything away but not completely sold on Minny yet, their five wins have been against average teams and the Broncos only loss was a 1 pointer against KC on the road. Think they win here if not at least keep it close. Also solid lean on this game going over the total though no action on it.
Jets -2.5 -130 Cascade
This is just one of those games where I feel the Jets are the better team. They needed that first win last week and now after getting it they will loosen up some and play good ball. There's a trend somewhere about teams picking up their first win having good success the next week but as I said just like playing the best team anyway. Getting down at 2.5 instead of having to lay the 3 is big when betting the NFL.
Good luck guys.
