nfl 11/14

[MarksMoneymakers]

best bets (5-3) (+5.10 units)
top plays (9-10) (-4.00 units)
regular plays (14-6) (+7.40 units)

overall (28-19) (+8.50 units)

went 5-0 last week. i cannot remember the last time i finished on the plus side for the year in the nfl. starting to make a comeback in college too. still alot of games of the board this week. i have been making all my picks on tuesdays recently just going with my gut feelings and it has been working. here are my early opinions for the week so far. will be back within the next day or so to make official plays as soon as all the lines come up.

cleveland +4.5 over pittsburgh
atlanta -3.5 over tampa bay

wow! that is all i like so far. back with more picks as the lines come out.

 

[jaypaw]

I was looking at cleveland as well

keep in mind garcia also threw for over 200 yds AT pitt and the final score was 23-34 (pitt by 11). Staley WAS the deciding factor with 177 yards and a TD rushing despite the fact that rothlesburger had a great game in the air - were it not for the nearly 200 yds on the ground that staley provided then the game could have easily played out quite differently.

Bettis did well vs philly (149 yds rushing) but philly is 26th in the league in terms of rush yds allowed. Cleveland is 9th allowing about 107 per game on the ground.



GL

 

[MarksMoneymakers]

atlanta -3.5 over tampa bay (BEST BET)..............just not that impressed with tampa bay this year. line seems a little low to me. get the feeling vick has a great game and atlanta blows them out. should be easy.

new england -8 over buffalo (TOP PLAY).................pats back on track. buffalo one of the worst teams in football this year. if it were at buffalo, they might have a chance of at least keeping it close. another blowout.

jacksonville -3 over detroit (TOP PLAY).............jags not a bad team and they are at home. lions can cause problems at home, but not on the road. this one looks easy to me as well. jags by at least 10.

washington -3 over cincinnati (REGULAR PLAY)..............not crazy about the skins. i am really not crazy about cincinnati on the road. lesser of two evils here. skins build off of last weeks win at detroit. if they can win at detroit they can certainly win at home vs the bengals.

cleveland +3.5 over pittsburgh (REGULAR PLAY).............line actually dropping. looks like you could put a million dollars on the steelers this week. browns shock the world and beat the steelers this week.


NO OPINIONS THIS WEEK.


good luck everybody!!

 

[jaypaw]

What specifically do you see in the pats that makes you think they can do it by more than a TD?

With Poole and Law out (who both played in the previous meeting between these two) I dont see how they will limit the production of Moulds and Evans (who combined for 219 of bledsoes 250 passing)

The difference maker now thats been added (magahee) has undoubtedly been a factor in their recent wins (most notable against the jets where he got 132 yds and a TD).

On the bills side however - there could be some room for concern, Vincent (who has been out for 5 games since his last appearance vs NE) is still out, and Williams doesnt look like he will play either - which cant help when it seemed like the line was starting to make some headway.

I am on the bills but I may have underestimated the impact of williams being out. Also troy brown was out vs buffalo the first time and he has quietly snuck back into being a factor in the last couple of games.


My main concern is that getting a 2 TD win like last time will not be as easy this time - because the difference in their last meeting was the seymour fumble return for a TD (70 yds) and the penalty that ultimately turned a FG into a TD.

There is little doubt in my mind that the pats will end up winning - but I am betting that there is a good enough chance that the weakened secondary of the pats could end up costing a bunch of yards - especially on a field that Bledsoe might even be a tad comfortable playing on...

GL